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Natural disasters and bank stability: Evidence from the U.S. financial system

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  • Noth, Felix
  • Schüwer, Ulrich

Abstract

We show that property damages from weather-related natural disasters significantly weaken the stability of banks with business activities in affected regions, as re ected in lower z-scores, higher probabilities of default, higher non-performing assets ratios, higher foreclosure ratios, lower returns on assets, and lower bank equity ratios. The effects are economically relevant and suggest that insurance payments and public aid programs do not sufficiently protect bank borrowers against financial difficulties. We also find that the adverse effects on bank stability dissolve after some years if no further disasters occur during that time.

Suggested Citation

  • Noth, Felix & Schüwer, Ulrich, 2018. "Natural disasters and bank stability: Evidence from the U.S. financial system," SAFE Working Paper Series 167, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:safewp:167
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2921000
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Schüwer, Ulrich & Lambert, Claudia & Noth, Felix, 2017. "How do banks react to catastrophic events? Evidence from Hurricane Katrina," SAFE Working Paper Series 94, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2017.
    12. Koetter, Michael & Noth, Felix & Rehbein, Oliver, 2020. "Borrowers under water! Rare disasters, regional banks, and recovery lending," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    13. Laeven, Luc & Levine, Ross, 2009. "Bank governance, regulation and risk taking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 259-275, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Barbaglia, Luca & Fatica, Serena & Rho, Caterina, 2023. "Flooded credit markets: physical climate risk and small business lending," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2023-14, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    2. Di Tommaso, Caterina & Foglia, Matteo & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2023. "The impact and the contagion effect of natural disasters on sovereign credit risk. An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    3. Rauf, Asad, 2023. "Bank stability and the price of loan commitments," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Tetsuji Okazaki & Toshihiro Okubo & Eric Strobl, 2024. "The Bright and Dark Sides of a Central Bank's Financial Support to Local Banks after a Natural Disaster: Evidence from the Great Kanto Earthquake, 1923 Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1439-1477, September.
    5. Mete Feridun & Hasan Güngör, 2020. "Climate-Related Prudential Risks in the Banking Sector: A Review of the Emerging Regulatory and Supervisory Practices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Ali, Mohsin & Azmi, Wajahat & Kowsalya, V. & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2023. "Interlinkages between stability, carbon emissions and the ESG disclosures: Global evidence from banking industry," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. Radoslav Raykov & Consuelo Silva-Buston, 2018. "Multibank Holding Companies and Bank Stability," Staff Working Papers 18-51, Bank of Canada.
    8. Shala, Iliriana & Schumacher, Benno, 2022. "The impact of natural disasters on banks' impairment flow: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 36/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Hong, Pei-Hsuan & Lin, Weizheng, 2024. "Environmental policy stringency and bank risks: Does green economy matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Calice,Pietro & Miguel Liriano,Faruk, 2021. "Climate-Related and Environmental Risks for the Banking Sector in Latin America and the Caribbean : A Preliminary Assessment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9694, The World Bank.
    11. Rehbein, Oliver, 2018. "Flooded through the back door: Firm-level effects of banks' lending shifts," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2018, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. Wan-Li Zhang & Chun-Ping Chang & Yang Xuan, 2022. "The impacts of climate change on bank performance: What’s the mediating role of natural disasters?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1913-1952, August.
    13. repec:liv:livedp:202219 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Celil, Hursit S. & Oh, Seungjoon & Selvam, Srinivasan, 2022. "Natural disasters and the role of regional lenders in economic recovery," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 116-132.
    15. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Marqués-Ibáñez, David & Olovsson, Conny & Popov, Alexander & Porcellacchia, Davide & Schepens, Glenn, 2023. "The climate and the economy," Working Paper Series 2793, European Central Bank.
    16. Chabot, Miia & Bertrand, Jean-Louis, 2023. "Climate risks and financial stability: Evidence from the European financial system," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    natural disasters; bank stability; non-performing assets; bank performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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