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Italien: Geringere Schuldenlasten durch mehr Wachstum?

Author

Listed:
  • Bencek, David
  • Schrader, Klaus

Abstract

Die Autoren zeigen, dass Italiens Schuldentragfähigkeit kurzfristig trotz der hohen Schuldenquote und steigenden Risikoaufschlägen auf Staatsanleihen nicht gefährdet ist. In der mittleren Frist können jedoch Finanzierungsprobleme entstehen, wenn eingetrübte Wachstumsaussichten oder negative Wachstumsschocks den aufgrund der hohen Schuldenquote eingeschränkten Gestaltungsspielraum der Regierung zusätzlich belasten. In diesem Kontext wird herausgearbeitet, dass Italien seit den neunziger Jahren langsamer als der EU-Durchschnitt wächst, da nicht nur die ärmeren Regionen im Süden schwächeln, sondern auch der "reiche Norden" seine Rolle als Wachstumsmotor eingebüßt hat. Nach Meinung der Autoren kann die chronische Wachstumsschwäche Italiens nicht mit staatlichem Konsum, sondern nur mit Strukturreformen behoben werden, die den Standort Italien für private Investoren wieder attraktiver machen.

Suggested Citation

  • Bencek, David & Schrader, Klaus, 2018. "Italien: Geringere Schuldenlasten durch mehr Wachstum?," Kiel Policy Brief 120, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:120
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2018. "Italien an der Belastungsgrenze? Eine Projektion der gesamtstaatlichen Zinslast in den vier größten Volkswirtschaften des Euroraums," Kiel Policy Brief 118, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. World Bank, 2018. "Doing Business 2018," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28608.
    3. Schrader, Klaus & Ulivelli, Marta, 2017. "Italy: A crisis country of tomorrow? Insights from the Italian labor market," Kiel Policy Brief 107, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Italien; Reformen; Wachstum; Schuldenkrise; Italy; reforms; growth; debt crisis;
    All these keywords.

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