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Euroraum: Konjunktur trotz Schuldenkrise aufwärtsgerichtet

Author

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  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens
  • Gern, Klaus-Jürgen
  • van Roye, Björn
  • Scheide, Joachim

Abstract

Die Konjunktur im Euroraum ist im Sommerhalbjahr aufwärtsgerichtet und war bisher von den Folgen der Schuldenkrise nur geringfügig betroffen. Zu einer rapiden Verschlechterung der Finanzierungsbedingungen im Zuge der Finanzmarktturbulenzen scheint es nicht gekommen zu sein. Im übrigen Euroraum ist die Dynamik allerdings deutlich geringer als in Deutschland. Das Abflachen der Weltkonjunktur, negative Impulse der Finanzpolitik sowie das Auslaufen des Lagerzyklus wirken sich im Prognosezeitraum belastend aus, so dass das Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach 1,6 Prozent im laufenden Jahr nur mit 1,2 Prozent im kommenden Jahr expandieren dürfte.

Suggested Citation

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Euroraum: Konjunktur trotz Schuldenkrise aufwärtsgerichtet," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45575, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:45575
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2010," Kiel Discussion Papers 481/482, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Blix Grimaldi, Marianna, 2010. "Detecting and interpreting financial stress in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1214, European Central Bank.
    3. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur kommt nach kräftiger Erholung in schwierigeres Fahrwasser," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45600, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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    Cited by:

    1. van Roye, Björn, 2011. "Der Einfluss von Finanzmarktstress auf die Konjunktur in Deutschland," Kiel Insight 2011.19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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