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Mauritius Financial System Stress Index: Estimating the Costs of the Subprime Crisis

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  • Indranarain Ramlall

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to develop a FSSI model for the Mauritius based on 11 components which reflect the core characteristics of Mauritius. Findings show that Mauritius had been affected by the crisis with the costs hovering around 3.4 to 5.4%. Latent risks are identified under public debt sustainability, tourist arrivals and earnings, central bank equity, quality of balance of payments sustainability, trade finance, net foreign investments on the stock market and future GDP growth paths in Europe and USA. Evidence is found of an impotent interest rate channel, a robust credit channel and a vibrant exchange rate channel. Banks' profitability structure is found to be crisis-immune following a maintained interest rate spread at 7% despite a decline in the TED spread. The authorities should concentrate on tourism and credit channels while curtailing the interest rate spread to reinvigorate the interest rate transmission channel.

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  • Indranarain Ramlall, 2015. "Mauritius Financial System Stress Index: Estimating the Costs of the Subprime Crisis," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 235-271, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:16:y:2015:i:3:p:235-271
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2015.1069678
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    Cited by:

    1. Bu, Ya & Du, Xin & Li, Hui & Yu, Xinghui & Wang, Yuting, 2023. "Research on the FinTech risk early warning based on the MS-VAR model: An empirical analysis in China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Indranarain Ramlall & Faadilah Mamode, 2017. "A Critical Assessment of Basel III and its Implications on the Mauritian Banking Sector," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 70-101, January.

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