Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Return Variability
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Consistent ranking of volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 97-121.
- Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1998. "Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 885-905, November.
- Hendry, David F. & Richard, Jean-Francois, 1982.
"On the formulation of empirical models in dynamic econometrics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 3-33, October.
- HENRY, David F. & RICHARD, Jean-François, 1982. "On the formulation of empirical models in dynamic econometrics," LIDAM Reprints CORE 502, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2010.
"General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 885-907, October.
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2006. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc, BAUWENS & Genaro, SUCARRAT, 2006. "General to Specific Modelling of Exchange Rate Volatility : a Forecast Evaluation," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006013, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2010. "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2008. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility : a forecast evaluation," UC3M Working papers. Economics we081810, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Genaro Sucarrat, 2010.
"Econometric reduction theory and philosophy,"
Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 53-75.
- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Econometric reduction theory and philosophy," UC3M Working papers. Economics we091005, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-33.
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2010.
"General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 885-907, October.
- Luc, BAUWENS & Genaro, SUCARRAT, 2006. "General to Specific Modelling of Exchange Rate Volatility : a Forecast Evaluation," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006013, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2010. "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2006. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2008. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility : a forecast evaluation," UC3M Working papers. Economics we081810, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016.
"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Post-Print hal-01448237, HAL.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009.
"A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2007. "A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects," CREATES Research Papers 2007-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2010. "A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects," Working Papers 10-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Chardin Wese Simen, 2020. "The Conditional Capital Asset Pricing Model Revisited: Evidence from High-Frequency Betas," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2474-2494, June.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011.
"On the realized volatility of the ECX CO 2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting,"
Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-29, February.
- Chevallier, Julien & Benoit, Sevi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Sustainable Development Papers 55834, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Working Papers 2009.113, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Working Papers halshs-00387286, HAL.
- Wei, Yu & Wang, Peng, 2008. "Forecasting volatility of SSEC in Chinese stock market using multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(7), pages 1585-1592.
- Jeff Fleming & Chris Kirby, 2013. "Component-Driven Regime-Switching Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 263-301, March.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen, 2014. "Realized Volatility Forecast: Structural Breaks, Long Memory, Asymmetry, and Day-of-the-Week Effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 345-392, September.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005.
"Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2005fe08, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," Economics Papers 2005-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Department of Mathematical Sciences & University of Aarhus & Denmark, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," Economics Series Working Papers 240, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2008. "Volatility and VaR forecasting in the Madrid Stock Exchange," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 169-196, September.
- Christensen, K. & Podolskij, M. & Thamrongrat, N. & Veliyev, B., 2017.
"Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
- Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Nopporn Thamrongrat & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2015. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," CREATES Research Papers 2015-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Stavros Degiannakis, 2008.
"ARFIMAX and ARFIMAX-TARCH realized volatility modeling,"
Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(10), pages 1169-1180.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008. "ARFIMAX and ARFIMAX-TARCH Realized Volatility Modeling," MPRA Paper 80465, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu, 2019.
"Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?,"
Post-Print
hal-03331122, HAL.
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Elena Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2019. "Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2709, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Christian Conrad & Onno Kleen, 2020. "Two are better than one: Volatility forecasting using multiplicative component GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 19-45, January.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013.
"Realized volatility or price range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 212-216.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013. "Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process," MPRA Paper 80449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Livada, Alexandra, 2013. "Realized Volatility or Price Range: Evidence from a discrete simulation of the continuous time diffusion process," MPRA Paper 80489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2010. "Realized volatility and overnight returns," Research Discussion Papers 19/2010, Bank of Finland.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2010. "Towards a volatility index for the Italian stock market," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 10091, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Anders Eriksson & Daniel P. A. Preve & Jun Yu, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility Using a Nonnegative Semiparametric Model,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, August.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, "undated". "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Working Papers CoFie-02-2007, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Finance Working Papers 23049, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Daniel PREVE & Anders ERIKSSON & Jun YU, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Working Papers 22-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
More about this item
Keywords
Return variability forecasting; financial volatility; explanatory modelling;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FOR-2008-05-17 (Forecasting)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:7263. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.