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Zum Einfluss der wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit auf die deutsche Konjunktur

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  • Berend, Lukas
  • Jannsen, Nils

Abstract

Durch die vorzeitige Auflösung der bisher regierenden Koalition hat die Bundesregierung keine Mehrheit mehr im Parlament. Der Haushalt für das Jahr 2025 dürfte nicht mehr beschlossen werden. Da die Neu-wahlen im Februar anstehen, Zeit für eventuelle Koalitionsverhandlungen verstreichen wird und die neue Regierung dann erst den Haushalt vorschlagen kann, gehen wir davon aus, dass der Bund bis in das dritte Quartal 2025 ohne geltendes Haushaltsgesetz agieren muss. Zudem dürften einige Projekte, deren Realisierung wir bisher in der Prognose unterstellt hatten, entfallen.

Suggested Citation

  • Berend, Lukas & Jannsen, Nils, 2024. "Zum Einfluss der wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit auf die deutsche Konjunktur," Kiel Insight 2024.11, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:308148
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