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Interdependence between climate change and migration: Does Agriculture, geography and development level matter in sub-Saharan Africa?

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  • Bannor, Frank
  • Magambo, Isaiah Hubert
  • Mahabir, Jugal
  • Tshitaka, Jean-Luc Mubenga

Abstract

Concerns about the human effects of climate change have contributed to forecasts of how populations in drought-prone, and flood-prone areas would respond to these events. Empirical studies have predicted that human migration has been among the critical resilient strategy in responding to the impact of climate change. To obtain a more comprehensive understanding of the climate–migration relationship, the impacts of climate change on international migration flows from Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) nations to South Africa are investigated empirically in this paper. The study employed a fixed effects model and panel data from 35 countries in SSA, spanning 1990 to 2017. The findings are as follows: (1) the analysis show that temperature has a positive and statistically significant effect on outmigration in agriculture-dependent nations. (2) the analysis shows that agricultural-value-added as a share in GDP has a negative and statistically significant effect on outmigration in agriculture-dependent nations. (3) the results also show that geographic location, and development level of a country, in addition to dependency on agriculture are key factors in the climate change–international migration nexus. Policy implications are discussed.

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  • Bannor, Frank & Magambo, Isaiah Hubert & Mahabir, Jugal & Tshitaka, Jean-Luc Mubenga, 2022. "Interdependence between climate change and migration: Does Agriculture, geography and development level matter in sub-Saharan Africa?," EconStor Preprints 251386, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:251386
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International migration; Sub-Saharan Africa; South Africa; Climate change; Agriculture;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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