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Monetary policy and stock market volatility

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  • Bleich, Dirk
  • Fendel, Ralf
  • Rülke, Jan-Christoph

Abstract

We estimate forward-looking interest rate reaction functions in the spirit of Taylor (1993) for four major central banks augmented by implicit volatilities of stock market indices to proxy financial market stress. Our results suggest that the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve Bank and the European Central Bank systematically respond to an increase of the implicit volatility by a decrease in the interest rate. We take our results as strong evidence that central banks use interest rates to stabilize financial markets in periods of financial market stress.

Suggested Citation

  • Bleich, Dirk & Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2013. "Monetary policy and stock market volatility," Discussion Papers 45/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdps:452013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Bleich, Dirk & Fendel, Ralf, 2012. "Monetary Policy Conditions in Spain Before and After the Changeover to the Euro: A Taylor Rule Based Assessment," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Janko Gorter & Jan Jacobs & Jakob De Haan, 2008. "Taylor Rules for the ECB using Expectations Data," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 110(3), pages 473-488, September.
    10. Alexandros Kontonikas & Alberto Montagnoli, 2004. "Has Monetary Policy Reacted to Asset Price Movements? Evidence from the UK," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 7(1), pages 18-33, Summer.
    11. Roy Batchelor, 2001. "How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 225-235.
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    14. Fendel, Ralf & Frenkel, Michael & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2011. ""Ex-ante" Taylor rules and expectation forming in emerging markets," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 230-244, June.
    15. Stefan Gerlach & John Lewis, 2014. "ECB Reaction Functions and the Crisis of 2008," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(1), pages 137-158, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gross, Jonas & Zahner, Johannes, 2021. "What is on the ECB’s mind? Monetary policy before and after the global financial crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Jonas Gross & Johannes Zahner, 2020. "What's on the ECB's mind? - Monetary policy before and after the global financial crisis," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202008, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    4. Velauthapillai, Jeyakrishna, 2015. "Makroprudenzielle Regulierung – eine kurze Einführung und ein Überblick," EconStor Preprints 116781, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Saffet Akdag & Ömer İskenderoglu & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2020. "The volatility spillover effects among risk appetite indexes: insight from the VIX and the rise," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-65, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Taylor rule; Asset prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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