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Diagnosing Dutch disease: Does Russia have the symptoms?

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  • Oomes, Nienke
  • Kalcheva, Katerina

Abstract

In this paper, we assess whether recent economic developments in Russia are symptomatic of Dutch Disease.We first provide a brief review of the literature on Dutch Disease and the natural resource curse.We then discuss the symptoms of Dutch Disease, which include (1) real exchange rate appreciation; (2) slower manufacturing growth; (3) faster service sector growth; and (4) higher overall wages.We test these predictions for Russia while carefully controlling for other factors that could have led to similar symptoms.We conclude that, while Russia has all of the symptoms, the diagnosis of Dutch Disease remains to be confirmed.

Suggested Citation

  • Oomes, Nienke & Kalcheva, Katerina, 2007. "Diagnosing Dutch disease: Does Russia have the symptoms?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 7/2007, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitp:bdp2007_007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Balazs Egert & Carol Leonard, 2008. "Dutch Disease Scare in Kazakhstan: Is it real?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 147-165, April.
    2. Famil Majidli, 2022. "The Effects of Oil Prices and Oil Production on Non-Oil Exports in an Oil-Rich Country: The Case of Dutch Disease Symptom in Azerbaijan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 32-40, May.
    3. Arsham Reisinezhad, 2024. "The Dutch disease revisited: consistency of theory and evidence," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 553-603, March.
    4. Javed Iqbal & Sareer Ahmad & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2023. "Empirical investigation of the S-curve phenomenon in Pakistan-China commodity trade," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(4), pages 1853-1864.
    5. Sohag, Kazi & Hassan, M. Kabir & Kalina, Irina & Mariev, Oleg, 2023. "The relative response of Russian National Wealth Fund to oil demand, supply and risk shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    6. Korhonen, Iikka & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2009. "Real exchange rate, output and oil: case of four large energy producers," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2009, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    7. Udemba, Edmund Ntom & Yalçıntaş, Selin, 2022. "Unveiling the symptoms of Dutch disease: A comparative and sustainable analysis of two oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Balázs Égert, 2012. "Dutch diease in the post-soviet countries of central and south-west Asia: How contagious is it?," Post-Print hal-01385841, HAL.
    9. Égert, Balázs, 2009. "Dutch disease in former Soviet Union: witch-hunting?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2009, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    10. Hassan F Gholipour & Reza Tajaddini & Usama Al-mulali, 2022. "Dutch Disease phenomenon and demand for international business travels: Panel ARDL/PMG estimation," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1401-1415, August.
    11. Sultan Yahya Abbas Natto, 2024. "The Impact of Fluctuating Oil Revenues on Economic Growth: New Evidence from Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 245-253, January.
    12. A. Polbin, 2017. "Modeling the real ruble exchange rate under monetary policyregime change," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 4.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dutch disease; real exchange rate; resource curse; Russia; oil; transition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • P28 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Natural Resources; Environment
    • Q30 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - General

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