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Sanctions and counter-sanctions: What are their economic effects in Russia and elsewhere?

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  • Korhonen, Iikka

Abstract

In this note I review the literature on the economic effects of sanctions against Russia and Russia's own counter-sanctions. There are papers looking at the macroeconomic effects of sanctions as well as their effects on international trade and financial flows. All such papers must also deal with the collapse of oil price, which happened almost concurrently with the introduction of sanctions. Most papers find a negative effect of sanctions on Russia's general economic development since 2014. This effect most likely operates both via foreign trade and decreasing foreign capital flows into Russia. Moreover, Russia's own counter-sanctions have a clear negative effect on the well-being of an average Russian household.
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Suggested Citation

  • Korhonen, Iikka, 2019. "Sanctions and counter-sanctions: What are their economic effects in Russia and elsewhere?," BOFIT Policy Briefs 2/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitb:22019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Angela Cheptea & Carl Gaigné, 2020. "Russian food embargo and the lost trade [Nonparametric counterfactual predictions in neoclassical models of international trade]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 684-718.
    2. Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Netšunajev, Aleksei, 2019. "Crimea and punishment: the impact of sanctions on Russian economy and economies of the euro area," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 39-51.
    3. Matthieu Crozet & Julian Hinz, 2020. "Friendly fire: the trade impact of the Russia sanctions and counter-sanctions," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 35(101), pages 97-146.
    4. Ahn, Daniel P. & Ludema, Rodney D., 2020. "The sword and the shield: The economics of targeted sanctions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    5. Korhonen, I., 2019. "Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions - What Are their Economic Effects in Russia and Elsewhere?," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 43(3), pages 184-190.
    6. Matthieu Crozet & Julian Hinz, 0. "Friendly fire: the trade impact of the Russia sanctions and counter-sanctions," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 35(101), pages 97-146.
    7. Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Ulbricht, Dirk & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2016. "Between the Hammer and the Anvil: The Impact of Economic Sanctions and Oil Prices on Russia’s Ruble," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 295-308.
    8. Bělín, Matěj & Hanousek, Jan, 2021. "Which sanctions matter? analysis of the EU/russian sanctions of 2014," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 244-257.
    9. repec:zbw:bofitp:2019_013 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Victoria Golikova & Boris Kuznetsov, 2017. "Perception of risks associated with economic sanctions: the case of Russian manufacturing," Post-Soviet Affairs, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 49-62, January.
    11. Oliver Fritz & Elisabeth Christen & Franz Sinabell & Julian Hinz, 2017. "Russia's and the EU's Sanctions. Economic and Trade Effects, Compliance and the Way Forward," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 60669, January.
    12. Gurvich, Evsey & Prilepskiy, Ilya, 2015. "The impact of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 359-385.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:zbw:bofitp:2022_008 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Korhonen, I., 2019. "Sanctions and Counter-Sanctions - What Are their Economic Effects in Russia and Elsewhere?," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 43(3), pages 184-190.
    3. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. ""Sorry, You're Blocked." Economic Effects of Financial Sanctions on the Russian Economy," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp704, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    4. Iikka Korhonen, 2020. "Economic Sanctions on Russia and Their Effects," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(04), pages 19-22, January.
    5. Simola, Heli, 2023. "What the literature says about the effects of sanctions on Russia," BOFIT Policy Briefs 8/2023, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    6. Korhonen, Iikka, 2021. "Russia's growth potential post-COVID-19," BOFIT Policy Briefs 9/2021, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    7. Simola, Heli, 2021. "Long-term challenges to Russian economic policy," BOFIT Policy Briefs 11/2021, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    8. Nguyen, Trung Thanh & Do, Manh Hung, 2021. "Impact of economic sanctions and counter-sanctions on the Russian Federation’s trade," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 267-278.
    9. Jin Cao & Valeriya Dinger & Ragnar E. Juelsrud & Karolis Liaudinskas, 2022. "Trade Conflicts and Credit Supply Spillovers: Evidence from the Nobel Peace Prize Trade Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series 10036, CESifo.
    10. Cao, Jin & Dinger, Valeriya & Juelsrud, Ragnar E. & Liaudinskas, Karolis, 2022. "Trade conflicts and credit supply spillovers : Evidence from the Nobel Peace Prize trade shock," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2022, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    11. Solanko, Laura, 2020. "From reforms to stagnation: 20 years of economic policies in Putin's Russia," BOFIT Policy Briefs 1/2020, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    12. Simola, Heli, 2019. "Effects of external shocks on Russian economy," BOFIT Policy Briefs 4/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    13. Korhonen, Iikka & Simola, Heli, 2024. "High-priority battlefield items and television sets: How sanctions reduced Russians' access to goods," BOFIT Discussion Papers 3/2024, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    sanctions; foreign trade; capital flows; oil price; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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