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Non-linear real exchange rate effects in the UK labour market

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriella Legrenzi

    (Cambridge University)

  • Costas Milas

    (City University)

Abstract

Using data over the 1973q1-2004q1 period, this paper identifies an important role for the real exchange rate in affecting UK labour market conditions. When the real exchange rate is undervalued, short-run unemployment falls as firms respond to an improvement in domestic competitiveness by increasing their demand for labour. The unemployment response to the real exchange rate deviations occurs outside a narrow interval band. To the extent that the real exchange rate equation reflects monetary policy considerations, our results imply that unemployment can be targeted by economic policy. Our results also suggest that when the real exchange rate is undervalued, workers respond to an improvement in domestic competitiveness by demanding and getting higher wages. Again, this effect is non-linear.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2004. "Non-linear real exchange rate effects in the UK labour market," International Finance 0411007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpif:0411007
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real exchange rate; unemployment; monetary policy; Smooth Transition Vector Error Correction Model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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