IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/9882.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Global Diffusion of Electric Vehicles : Lessons from the First Decade

Author

Listed:
  • Li,Shanjun
  • Wang,Binglin
  • Yang,Muxi
  • Zhang,Fan

Abstract

Electrifying the transportation sector is key to reaching the goal of carbon neutrality.This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the diffusion of passenger electric vehicles based on detaileddata on model-level electrical vehicle sales across the world from 2013 to 2020. The analysis shows that the highlyuneven electrical vehicle penetration across countries is partly driven by cross-country variation in incentives andespecially in the availability of charging infrastructure. Investment in charging infrastructure would have been muchmore cost-effective than consumer purchase subsidies in promoting electrical vehicle adoption. This findinghighlights the importance of expanding charging infrastructure in the next phase of deeper electricalvehicle diffusion.

Suggested Citation

  • Li,Shanjun & Wang,Binglin & Yang,Muxi & Zhang,Fan, 2021. "The Global Diffusion of Electric Vehicles : Lessons from the First Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9882, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9882
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/225111639490843204/pdf/The-Global-Diffusion-of-Electric-Vehicles-Lessons-from-the-First-Decade.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Coşar, A. Kerem & Grieco, Paul L.E. & Li, Shengyu & Tintelnot, Felix, 2018. "What drives home market advantage?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 135-150.
    2. Steven T. Berry, 1994. "Estimating Discrete-Choice Models of Product Differentiation," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 25(2), pages 242-262, Summer.
    3. Raj Chetty & Adam Looney & Kory Kroft, 2009. "Salience and Taxation: Theory and Evidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1145-1177, September.
    4. Kerry Krutilla & John D. Graham, 2012. "Are Green Vehicles Worth the Extra Cost? The Case of Diesel‐Electric Hybrid Technology for Urban Delivery Vehicles," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 501-532, June.
    5. Yiyi Zhou & Shanjun Li, 2018. "Technology Adoption and Critical Mass: The Case of the U.S. Electric Vehicle Market," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(2), pages 423-480, June.
    6. Meunier, Guy & Ponssard, Jean-Pierre, 2020. "Optimal policy and network effects for the deployment of zero emission vehicles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Corts, Kenneth S., 2010. "Building out alternative fuel retail infrastructure: Government fleet spillovers in E85," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 219-234, May.
    8. Stephen P. Holland & Erin T. Mansur & Nicholas Z. Muller & Andrew J. Yates, 2016. "Are There Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles? The Importance of Local Factors," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(12), pages 3700-3729, December.
    9. Berry, Steven & Levinsohn, James & Pakes, Ariel, 1995. "Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 63(4), pages 841-890, July.
    10. James M. Sallee, 2011. "The Surprising Incidence of Tax Credits for the Toyota Prius," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 189-219, May.
    11. Shanjun Li & Jianwei Xing & Lin Yang & Fan Zhang, 2020. "Transportation and the Environment in Developing Countries," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 389-409, October.
    12. Katalin Springel, 2021. "Network Externality and Subsidy Structure in Two-Sided Markets: Evidence from Electric Vehicle Incentives," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 393-432, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dimanchev, Emil & Fleten, Stein-Erik & MacKenzie, Don & Korpås, Magnus, 2023. "Accelerating electric vehicle charging investments: A real options approach to policy design," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    2. Li, Shanjun & Wang, Binglin & Zhou, Hui, 2024. "Decarbonizing passenger transportation in developing countries: Lessons and perspectives1," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    3. Malima, Gabriel Clement & Moyo, Francis, 2023. "Are electric vehicles economically viable in sub-Saharan Africa? The total cost of ownership of internal combustion engine and electric vehicles in Tanzania," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 14-26.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shanjun Li & Xianglei Zhu & Yiding Ma & Fan Zhang & Hui Zhou, 2022. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles: Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 450-485, March.
    2. Li,Shanjun & Zhu,Xianglei & Ma,Yiding & Zhang,Fan & Zhou,Hui, 2020. "The Role of Government in the Market for Electric Vehicles : Evidence from China," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9359, The World Bank.
    3. Nathan Delacrétaz & Bruno Lanz & Jeremy van Dijk, 2020. "The chicken or the egg: Technology adoption and network infrastructure in the market for electric vehicles," IRENE Working Papers 20-08, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Jeremy Dijk & Nathan Delacrétaz & Bruno Lanz, 2022. "Technology Adoption and Early Network Infrastructure Provision in the Market for Electric Vehicles," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 83(3), pages 631-679, November.
    5. Meunier, Guy & Ponssard, Jean-Pierre, 2020. "Optimal policy and network effects for the deployment of zero emission vehicles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Patrick Bigler & Doina Maria Radulescu, 2022. "Environmental, Redistributive and Revenue Effects of Policies Promoting Fuel Efficient and Electric Vehicles," CESifo Working Paper Series 9645, CESifo.
    7. Xing, Jianwei & Leard, Benjamin & Li, Shanjun, 2021. "What does an electric vehicle replace?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Koch, Nicolas & Ritter, Nolan & Rohlf, Alexander & Scarazzato, Francesco, 2022. "When is the electric vehicle market self-sustaining? Evidence from Norway," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    9. Wu, Fulan & Li, Pei & Dong, Xuebing & Lu, Yuanzhu, 2022. "Exploring the effectiveness of China's dual credit policy in a differentiated automobile market when some consumers are environmentally aware," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    10. Mayer, Thierry & Head, Keith, 2021. "Poor Substitutes? Counterfactual methods in IO and Trade compared," CEPR Discussion Papers 16762, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Eugenio J. Miravete & Katja Seim & Jeff Thurk, 2018. "Market Power and the Laffer Curve," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1651-1687, September.
    12. Alberini, Anna & Vance, Colin, 2023. "Competing forces in the German new car market: How do they affect diesel, PHEV, and BEV sales?," Ruhr Economic Papers 1047, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    13. Yoo, Sunbin & Koh, Kyung Woong & Yoshida, Yoshikuni, 2020. "Are consumers abandoning diesel automobiles because of contrasting diesel policies? Evidence from the Korean automobile market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    14. Bingxiao Wu, 2019. "Information presentation and consumer choice: Evidence from Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) Success Rate Reports," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 868-883, July.
    15. Amit Gandhi & Jean-François Houde, 2019. "Measuring Substitution Patterns in Differentiated-Products Industries," NBER Working Papers 26375, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Arlt, Marie-Louise & Astier, Nicolas, 2023. "Do retail businesses have efficient incentives to invest in public charging stations for electric vehicles?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    17. Andreassen, Gøril L. & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2022. "One or two non-fossil technologies in the decarbonized transport sector?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    18. Jianwei Xing & Benjamin Leard & Shanjun Li, 2019. "What Does an Electric Vehicle Replace?," NBER Working Papers 25771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Arakawa, Kiyoshi, 2022. "Assessing consumer valuations of future costs versus purchase prices in Japan's auto market," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    20. Lohawala, Nafisa, 2023. "Roadblock or Accelerator? The Effect of Electric Vehicle Subsidy Elimination," RFF Working Paper Series 23-13, Resources for the Future.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9882. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.