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A comparison of credit scoring techniques in Peer-to-Peer lending

Author

Listed:
  • Aneta Dzik-Walczak

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

  • Mateusz Heba

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

Abstract

Credit scoring has become an important issue as the competition among financial institutions becomes very intense and even a slight improvement in accuracy of prediction might translate into significant savings. Financial institutions are seeking optimal strategies through the help of credit scoring models. Therefore credit scoring tools are widely studied. As a result different parametric statistical methods, non-parametric statistical tools and soft-computing approaches have been developed in order to increase the accuracy of credit scoring models. In this paper different approaches to classify customers as those who pay back loan and those who default on a loan will be employed. The purpose of this study is to explore the performance of two credit scoring techniques, the logistic regression model and neural networks. In order to evaluate the feasibility and effectiveness of these methods analysis is performed on Ledning Club data. Peer-to-Peer lending, also called social lending are investigated. On the basis of the results, we can conclude that logistic regression model can provide better performance than neutral nets.

Suggested Citation

  • Aneta Dzik-Walczak & Mateusz Heba, 2019. "A comparison of credit scoring techniques in Peer-to-Peer lending," Working Papers 2019-16, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    • Handle: RePEc:war:wpaper:2019-16
    as

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    File URL: https://www.wne.uw.edu.pl/index.php/download_file/5054/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Riza Emekter & Yanbin Tu & Benjamas Jirasakuldech & Min Lu, 2015. "Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 54-70, January.
    4. Fitzpatrick, Trevor & Mues, Christophe, 2016. "An empirical comparison of classification algorithms for mortgage default prediction: evidence from a distressed mortgage market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 427-439.
    5. Evžen Kocenda & Martin Vojtek, 2011. "Default Predictors in Retail Credit Scoring: Evidence from Czech Banking Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 80-98, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit scoring; credit risk; Lending Club; logistic regression; neural nets; peer-to-peer lending;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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