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Monetary policy during unbalanced global recoveries

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Abstract

We study optimal monetary policy during times of exceptionally high global demand for tradable goods, relative to non-tradable ones. The optimal monetary response entails a rise in inflation, which helps rebalance production towards the tradable sector. While the inflation costs are fully bore domestically, however, the gains in terms of higher supply of tradable goods partly spill over to the rest of the world. National central banks may thus fall into a coordination trap, and implement an excessively tight monetary policy causing an unnecessarily sharp global contraction.

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  • Luca Fornaro & Federica Romei, 2022. "Monetary policy during unbalanced global recoveries," Economics Working Papers 1814, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    • Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1814
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan Paez-Farrell, 2023. "On the unimportance of commitment for monetary policy," Papers 2308.08044, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. William D. Craighead, 2022. "Pandemic Preference Shocks and Inflation in a New Keynesian Model," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 50(3), pages 133-146, December.
    3. Johannes Matschke & Sai Sattiraju, 2022. "Price Pressures for U.S. Exporters and a Strong Dollar Have Increased Inflation in Foreign Countries," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue August 31, pages 1-4, August.
    4. Daeha Cho & Kwang Hwan & Sukjoon Kim, 2023. "The Paradox of Price Flexibility in an Open Economy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 370-392, December.
    5. Paolo Pasimeni, 2022. "Supply or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 384-393, November.
    6. Ferrante, Francesco & Graves, Sebastian & Iacoviello, Matteo, 2023. "The inflationary effects of sectoral reallocation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 64-81.
    7. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2022. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Economics Series Working Papers 995, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2023. "A Note on Temporary Supply Shocks with Aggregate Demand Inertia," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 241-258, June.
    9. Caldara, Dario & Ferrante, Francesco & Iacoviello, Matteo & Prestipino, Andrea & Queralto, Albert, 2024. "The international spillovers of synchronous monetary tightening," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 127-152.
    10. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2023. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Discussion Papers 2311, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetric shocks; reallocation; monetary policy; international monetary cooperation; inflation; global supply shortages;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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