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Asymptotic F and t Tests in Cointegrating Regressions with Asymptotically Homogeneous Functions

Author

Listed:
  • Jungbin Hwang

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Yixiao Sun

    (University of California, San Diego)

Abstract

This paper develops asymptotic F and t tests for nonlinear cointegrated re-gression, where regressors are asymptotically homogeneous transformations of I(1) processes. These transformations encompass a broad class of functions, includ-ing distribution-like functions, logarithmic functions, and asymptotically polynomial functions. Our asymptotic F and t test theory covers both the case with exogenous regressors and the case with endogenous regressors. For the exogenous case, we con-struct a novel set of basis functions for series long-run variance estimation, effectively accounting for parameter estimation uncertainty. For the endogenous case, we extend the transformed-augmented OLS approach developed for linear cointegrated settings. Monte Carlo simulations show that our asymptotic F and t tests outperform compet-ing tests, including the asymptotic chi-square test based on the fully modified OLS estimator and the non-standard fixed-b test based on the integrated modified OLS estimator. Furthermore, our theory extends to cases where the processes driving regressors are nonstationary, fractionally integrated processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jungbin Hwang & Yixiao Sun, 2025. "Asymptotic F and t Tests in Cointegrating Regressions with Asymptotically Homogeneous Functions," Working papers 2025-01, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2025-01
    Note: Jungbin Hwang is the corresponding author
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    F test and F distribution; nonlinear cointegrating regression; unit root; t test and t distribution; fractional integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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