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Precautionary Balances and the Velocity of Circulation of Money

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  • Miquel Faig
  • Belén Jerez

Abstract

The low velocity of circulation of money implies that households hold more money than they normally spend. This behavior is explained if households face uncertain expenditure needs, so that they have a precautionary motive for holding money. We investigate this motive in a search model where households are subject to preference shocks. The model predicts that the velocity is not only low but also interest elastic. The model closely fits United States data on velocity and interest rates (1892-2004). The empirical analysis reveals a dramatic reduction in precautionary balances towards the end of our sample, which is important for policy issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Miquel Faig & Belén Jerez, 2006. "Precautionary Balances and the Velocity of Circulation of Money," Working Papers tecipa-188, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:tor:tecipa:tecipa-188
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Straubhaar & Henning Vöpel, 2012. "Euro- und Finanzkrise: Sollte die EZB ihre Aufgabe über die Inflationsbekämpfung hinaus erweitern?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(02), pages 04-07, January.
    2. Ludo Visschers & Irina A. Telyukova, 2009. "Precautionary Demand for Money in a Monetary Search Business Cycle Model," 2009 Meeting Papers 410, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Faig Miquel & Jerez Belén, 2006. "Inflation, Prices, and Information in Competitive Search," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-34, September.
    4. Badri, Ahmad & Zamanzadeh, Hamid, 2016. "The Role of Unbalanced Balance Sheet of Banking System in Creating the Puzzle of Interest Rate, Inflation and Liquidity Growth: Evidence from Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(2), pages 173-191, April.
    5. Matteo Mogliani & Giovanni Urga, 2018. "On the Instability of Long‐Run Money Demand and the Welfare Cost of Inflation in the United States," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1645-1660, October.
    6. Telyukova, Irina A. & Visschers, Ludo, 2009. "Precautionary Demand for Money in a Monetary Business Cycle Model," MPRA Paper 15622, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Boel, Paola, 2018. "The redistributive effects of inflation and the shape of money demand," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 208-219.
    8. Aleksander Berentsen & Samuel Huber & Alessandro Marchesiani, 2018. "Limited Commitment and the Demand for Money," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(610), pages 1128-1156, May.
    9. Ben Craig & Guillaume Rocheteau, 2008. "Inflation and Welfare: A Search Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 89-119, February.
    10. Mei Dong, 2009. "Money and Costly Credit," 2009 Meeting Papers 404, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Richard Ashley & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2015. "Persistence Dependence in Empirical Relations: The Velocity of Money," Working Papers (Old Series) 1530, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    12. Faig, Miquel & Li, Zhe, 2009. "The welfare costs of expected and unexpected inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 1004-1013, October.
    13. Aleksander Berentsen & Samuel Huber & Alessandro Marchesiani, 2015. "Financial Innovations, Money Demand, and the Welfare Cost of Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S2), pages 223-261, June.
    14. Randall Wright & Philipp Kircher & Benoit Julîen & Veronica Guerrieri, 2017. "Directed Search: A Guided Tour," NBER Working Papers 23884, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Huangfu Stella, 2009. "Competitive Search Equilibrium with Private Information on Monetary Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, March.
    16. Jacky Mallett & Charles Keen, 2012. "Does GDP measure growth in the economy or simply growth in the money supply?," Papers 1208.0642, arXiv.org.
    17. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7353 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Fusaro, Marc Anthony, 2010. "Are "bounced check loans" really loans? Theory, evidence and policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 492-500, November.
    19. Telyukova, Irina A. & Visschers, Ludo, 2013. "Precautionary money demand in a business-cycle model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 900-916.
    20. Faig, Miquel, 2008. "Endogenous buyer-seller choice and divisible money in search equilibrium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 184-199, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Precautionary Balances; Monetary Search; Velocity of Circulation of Money; Money Demand.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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