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Forecasting the Winner of a Tennis Match

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  • Klaassen, F.J.G.M.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

  • Magnus, J.R.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

Abstract

We propose a method to forecast the winner of a tennis match, not only at the beginning of the match, but also (and in particular) during the match.The method is based on a fast and exible computer program TENNISPROB, and on a statistical analysis of a large data set from Wimbledon, both at match and at point level.
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Suggested Citation

  • Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R., 2001. "Forecasting the Winner of a Tennis Match," Discussion Paper 2001-38, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiucen:2c6b897d-983a-4e48-9456-6f5e9f1d5715
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lebovic, James H. & Sigelman, Lee, 2001. "The forecasting accuracy and determinants of football rankings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 105-120.
    2. Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 83-91, February.
    3. Klaassen F. J G M & Magnus J. R., 2001. "Are Points in Tennis Independent and Identically Distributed? Evidence From a Dynamic Binary Panel Data Model," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 500-509, June.
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    Keywords

    forecasting; panel data; sport;
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