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Mutual Point-winning Probabilities (MPW): a New Performance Measure for Table Tennis

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  • Christophe Ley
  • Yves Dominicy

Abstract

We propose a new performance measure for table tennis players: the mutual point-winning probabilities (MPW) as server and receiver. The MPWs quantify a player's chances to win a point against a given opponent, and hence nicely complement the classical match statistics history between two players. We shall describe the MPWs, explain the statistics underpinning their calculation, and show via a Monte Carlo simulation study that our estimation procedure works well. As an illustration of the MPWs' versatile use, we use it as an alternative ranking method in two round-robin tournaments of ten respectively eleven table tennis players that we have ourselves organized.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Ley & Yves Dominicy, 2017. "Mutual Point-winning Probabilities (MPW): a New Performance Measure for Table Tennis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/250695
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    bradley-terry model; maximum likelihood estimation; round-robin tournament; sport performance analysis; strength model;
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