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Modelarea sectorului administratiei publice in corelatie cu indicatorii cresterii economice - Conferinta CRESTERE ECONOMICA SI SUSTENABILITATE SOCIALA. PROVOCARI SI PERSPECTIVE EUROPENE>

Author

Listed:
  • Stanica, Cristian

Abstract

Prognoza veniturilor şi cheltuielilor sectorului administraţiei publice ocupă un rol central în modelarea macroeconomică, deoarece resursele financiare bugetare stau la baza redistribuirii veniturilor în societate şi a finanţării programelor de dezvoltare economică. Politicile sociale sunt restricţionate de cheltuielile cu asistenţa socială care depind la rândul lor de contribuţiile sociale colectate la bugetele de asigurări. Pe de altă parte, contribuţiile sociale şi celelalte tipuri de impozite sunt determinate de politicile fiscale care au un impact direct şi asupra orientării creşterii economice. Pentru asigurarea unei dezvoltări economice sustenabile trebuie găsit compromisul între stimularea economiei prin politicile de relaxare fiscală şi asigurarea nivelului optim de venituri bugetare necesare pentru susţinerea programelor sociale. Cuantificarea impactului acestor politici se realizează prin scenariile oferite de modelele macroeconomice. În acest articol propunem o evaluare a blocului bugetar în cadrul modelelor macroeconomice elaborate pentru economia României.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanica, Cristian, 2011. "Modelarea sectorului administratiei publice in corelatie cu indicatorii cresterii economice - Conferinta CRESTERE ECONOMICA SI SUSTENABILITATE SOCIALA. PROVOCARI SI PERSPECTIVE EUROPENE>," Institute for Economic Forecasting Conference Proceedings 101102, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:wpconf:101102
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "Macroeconomic Forecasting With A Sam Model For The Romanian Economy - Part Ii – Equations Of The Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(3), pages 66-73, August.
    2. Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "MACROECONOMIC FORECASTING BASED ON A SAM MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY - Part I – Main Features of the Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(1), pages 92-96, February.
    3. Dobrescu, Emilian, 1996. "Macromodels of the Romanian transition Economy," MPRA Paper 35810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    modelare macroeconomică; conturi naţionale; venituri şi cheltuieli bugetare; ecuaţii de comportament;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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