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The Financing of Local Government in the People’s Republic of China: Stimulus Loan Wanes and Shadow Banking Waxes

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  • Chen, Zhuo

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • He, Zhiguo

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Liu, Chun

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

Abstract

The People’s Republic of China (PRC)’s four-trillion-yuan stimulus package fueled by bank loans in 2009 has led to the rapid growth of shadow banking activities in the PRC after 2012. The local governments in the PRC financed the stimulus plan mainly through bank loans in 2009, and resorted to non-bank debt financing after 2012 given the mounting rollover pressure from bank debt coming due, a manifestation of the stimulus loan-hangover effect. Cross-sectionally, provinces with abnormally greater bank loan growth in 2009 experienced more Municipal Corporate Bonds issuance during 2012-2015, as well as more shadow banking activities including entrusted loans and wealth management products. We highlight the market forces behind the regulation changes on local government debt post 2012, together with the expedited reform on interest rate liberalization during that period.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Zhuo & He, Zhiguo & Liu, Chun, 2018. "The Financing of Local Government in the People’s Republic of China: Stimulus Loan Wanes and Shadow Banking Waxes," ADBI Working Papers 800, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0800
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xian Gu & Iftekhar Hasan & Haitian Lu, 2019. "Corporate Misconduct and the Cost of Private Debt: Evidence from China," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 443-463, September.
    2. Yang, Liu & van Wijnbergen, S. & Qi, Xiaotong & Yi, Yuhuan, 2019. "Chinese shadow banking, financial regulation and effectiveness of monetary policy," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Wei Kong & Wenxiu Hu & Kaicheng Liao & Xiaoqiang Ma, 2021. "Local Financing Platform Loan and Performance of City Commercial Banks: Evidence from City Commercial Banks in China," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 238(3), pages 81-99, September.
    4. Huiyi Zhang & Richard Skolnik & Yue Han & Jinpei Wu, 2020. "The Impacts of China's Shadow Banking Credit Creation on the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 33-46, October.
    5. Wu, Meng-Wen & Xu, Li & Shen, Chung-hua & Zhang, Ke-Kun, 2021. "Overconfident CEOs and shadow banking in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Yang Feng & Yang Wang, 2021. "The Impact of Deindustrialization on Economic Growth——Evidence from China," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, May.
    7. Yi Ding & Wei Xiong & Jinfan Zhang, 2020. "Issuance Overpricing of China’s Corporate Debt Securities," NBER Working Papers 26815, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    local government financing vehicles; municipal corporate bonds; shadow banking in china;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements

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