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Do Contagion Effects Exist in Capital Flow Volatility?

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  • Lee, Hyun-Hoon

    (Kangwon National University)

  • Park, Cyn-Young

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Byun, Hyung-suk

    (Kangwon National University)

Abstract

The paper aims to assess what influences volatility of capital flows to emerging countries and whether or not there is a spillover or contagion effect in the volatility. The empirical results suggest strong and significant contagion effects from global and regional volatilities on the volatility of capital flows in different types to individual economies. The evidence of contagion from global and regional volatilities implies that there is a strong need for global and regional policy cooperation to contain the spillover or contagion effects. However, other policy variables have a differential and time-varying effect on volatility of different types of capital inflow, presenting policy dilemma and challenge to producing coordinated efforts by global and regional policy makers.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Hyun-Hoon & Park, Cyn-Young & Byun, Hyung-suk, 2012. "Do Contagion Effects Exist in Capital Flow Volatility?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 302, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0302
    Note: http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/pub/2012/economics-wp302.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Lee, Eun-Joo, 2017. "Intra- and inter-regional portfolio diversification strategies under regional market integration: Evidence from U.S. global banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-22.
    3. Melis, Michael & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2019. "Determinants of global capital volatility in the BRICS grouping," MPRA Paper 94125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ftiti, Zied & Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Louhichi, Wael & Anastasiou, Dimitris & Awijen, Haithem, 2024. "Revisiting capital flow drivers: Regional dynamics, constraints, and geopolitical influences," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    5. Taoufik Bouraoui, 2015. "The effect of reducing quantitative easing on emerging markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(15), pages 1562-1573, March.
    6. Opperman, Pieter & Adjasi, Charles Komla Delali, 2017. "The determinants of private capital flow volatility in Sub-Saharan African countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 312-320.
    7. Augustine C. Odo & Nathaniel E. Urama & Joseph Chukwudi Odionye, 2024. "Volatile capital flows and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa: the role of transparency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1801-1827, October.
    8. Opperman, Pieter & Adjasi, Charles Komla Delali, 2019. "Remittance volatility and financial sector development in sub-Saharan African countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 336-351.
    9. Ahmet Ihsan Kaya & Lutfi Erden, 2023. "Capital‐flow volatility in emerging markets: A panel GARCH approach," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 172-188, August.
    10. Malagón González, Jonathan, 2017. "Four essays on central banking in Latin America under balance of payments dominance," Other publications TiSEM fefd7d80-acd4-4abb-b152-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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