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On the Cleansing Effect of Recessions and Government Policy: Evidence from Covid-19

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  • Pedro Dias Moreira
  • Nicholas Kozeniauskas

Abstract

Recessions can have a cleansing effect by encouraging the reallocation of resources from lowproductivity firms towards higher-productivity ones. Whether this effect actually occurs is still debated. We contribute to answering this question by providing new evidence. Using a survey of firms matched with administrative data, we trace out the Covid-19 recession’s effects across the productivity distribution. Higher-productivity firms are found to have been more successful at maintaining employment, but there was not a rise in exit amongst lower-productivity firms. In line with the theory that support policies offset the cleansing effect of recessions, highproductivity firms are also found to have been less likely to take up government support.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro Dias Moreira & Nicholas Kozeniauskas, 2021. "On the Cleansing Effect of Recessions and Government Policy: Evidence from Covid-19," Working Papers w202118, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:ptu:wpaper:w202118
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    Cited by:

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    2. Brotherhood, Luiz & Jerbashian, Vahagn, 2023. "Firm behavior during an epidemic," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Gil Nogueira, 2022. "Corporate insolvency and restructuring during COVID-19," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    4. Meriküll, Jaanika & Paulus, Alari, 2024. "Were jobs saved at the cost of productivity in the COVID-19 crisis?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    5. Meriküll, Jaanika & Paulus, Alari, 2023. "The impact of the Covid-19 job retention support on employment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    6. Bruhn, Simon & Grebel, Thomas, 2023. "Allocative efficiency, plant dynamics and regional productivity: Evidence from Germany," Ilmenau Economics Discussion Papers 172, Ilmenau University of Technology, Institute of Economics.
    7. Cooper, Russell & Horn, Carl-Wolfram & Indraccolo, Leonardo, 2024. "Covid and productivity in Europe: A responsiveness perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • H81 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts

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