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Примена Индекса Линда У Истраживању Концентрације И Конкуренције У Банковном Сектору Србије
[The Use of Linda Indices in Research of Concentration and Competition in Serbian Banking Sector]

Author

Listed:
  • Bukvić, Rajko

Abstract

Serbian. У раду се анализирају степен концентрације и конкуренција у банковном сектору Србије. За основу анализе послужили су финансијски извештаји банака за 2016. годину. Као показатељи концентрације коришћени су најпре традиционални индекси концентрације (CRn, и то CR3, CR4 и CR8, као и HH индекси), које користи у својим анализама и Народна банка Србије. Поред тога, концентрација је оцењивана и помоћу релативно ретко коришћених индекса Линда, који су у нашој литератури готово непознати. Степен концентрације је обрачунат на основу пет променљивих, односно билансних величина: укупна актива, депозити, капитал, оперативни (пословни) приходи и кредити. Показано је да је уз постојање релативно великог броја банака у Србији постојећи степен концентрације низак, и поред генералног раста концентрације у текућој деценији. То представља добру основу за развој здраве конкуренције међу банкама. Међутим, указује се и на повећање вредности показатеља концентрације за све билансне величине. То је упозоравајуће кретање, и структуру на банковном тржишту Србије приближава средњеконцентрисаној. Као упозорење истичу се и вредности индекса Линда, обрачунате за капитал банака, које сугеришу сумњу на постојање лабавог олигопола. English. The paper analyzes the degree of concentration and competition in Serbian banking sector on the basis of bank financial statements for year 2016. It uses the traditional concentration indicators (CRn, among them CR3, CR4, and CR8, as well as HH indices), which are used by the National Bank of Serbia. In addition to these, the degree of concentration is measured by the relatively rarely used Linda indices, which are not present in Serbian literature. The concentration degree is calculated based on five variables: total assets, deposits, capital, bank operating income and loans. It was demonstrated that in the case of the relatively large number of banks in Serbia, the existing concentration degree is low, in spite of a general upward trend present in this decad. This provides suitable conditions for the development of healthy competition among different banks. However, this paper also warns of an increase in concentration degree in all the observed variables. This is a worrying tendency since it brings the structure of the Serbian banking to a moderately concentrated one. Another alarming trend are the values of Linda indices for bank capital, which suggest the presence of a loose oligopoly.

Suggested Citation

  • Bukvić, Rajko, 2017. "Примена Индекса Линда У Истраживању Концентрације И Конкуренције У Банковном Сектору Србије [The Use of Linda Indices in Research of Concentration and Competition in Serbian Banking Sector]," MPRA Paper 85718, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:85718
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    концентрација; конкуренција; банковни сектор; Србија; индекси Линда; Херфиндал-Хиршманов индекс; коефицијенти концентрације; олигопол; concentration; competition; banking sector; Serbia; indices Linda; Herfindahl-Hirschman index; concentration ratio; oligopoly;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General

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