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A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

Author

Listed:
  • Abdih, Yasser
  • Behar, Alberto
  • Cevik, Serhan
  • Chami, Ralph
  • Dougherty-Choux, Lisa
  • Furceri, Davide
  • Janus, Nick
  • Zimand, Paul

Abstract

This note is a reference guide for the unemployment template, an econometric tool that allows researchers to analyze and project labor market indicators for any country with sufficient data coverage. Section I explains the motivation behind designing a new surveillance tool to study labor markets, and summarizes the key features of the template. Section II details the data inputs needed and their sources. Section III describes the methods used to estimate the employment-growth elasticity, a measure of the extent to which employment responds to output. Section IV outlines the medium-term outlook table and projection charts created by the template once the inputs are customized to generate an appropriate elasticity. Finally, Section V presents a discussion of how to interpret the results produced by the template, and of the issues that arise from projecting labor market indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdih, Yasser & Behar, Alberto & Cevik, Serhan & Chami, Ralph & Dougherty-Choux, Lisa & Furceri, Davide & Janus, Nick & Zimand, Paul, 2012. "A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators," MPRA Paper 82682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:82682
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Davide Furceri & Ernesto Crivelli & Mr. Joël Toujas-Bernate, 2012. "Can Policies Affect Employment Intensity of Growth? A Cross-Country Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2012/218, International Monetary Fund.
    2. World Bank, "undated". "Middle East and North Africa Economic Developments and Prospects, September 2011 : Investing for Growth and Jobs [Région Moyen-Orient et Afrique du Nord de la Banque mondiale : Évolution et perspec," World Bank Publications - Reports 12434, The World Bank Group.
    3. repec:ilo:ilowps:343576 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Ray, Nikhil. & Schmitz, Laura., 2016. "The IMF and the social dimensions of growth : a content analysis of recent Article IV surveillance reports 2014-2015," ILO Working Papers 994902503402676, International Labour Organization.
    2. Ms. Magda E. Kandil & Mrs. Genevieve M Lindow & Mr. Mario Mansilla & Mr. Joel Chiedu Okwuokei & Jochen M. Schmittmann & Qiaoe Chen & Xin Li & Marika Santoro & Solomon Stavis, 2014. "Labor Market Issues in the Caribbean: Scope to Mobilize Employment Growth," IMF Working Papers 2014/115, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Mr. Alberto Behar, 2015. "Comparing the Employment-Output Elasticities of Expatriates and Nationals in the Gulf Cooperation Council," IMF Working Papers 2015/191, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unemployment; projections; template; labor market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D6 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics
    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • J0 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor
    • J3 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs
    • J4 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets
    • J5 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • J7 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Discrimination
    • J8 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards

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