IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/121607.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Structural Change and Labour Productivity in BRICS

Author

Listed:
  • Mungase, Sachin
  • Nikam, Supriya
  • Kothe, Satyanarayan

Abstract

The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have seen varying GDP growth rates, averaging around 5 percent in the 1990s, rising to 8 percent in the 2000s, and about 5.5 percent from 2011 to 2020. Structural change and labour productivity are key for sustained economic growth, achieved by reallocating resources to more productive activities. This study analyses employment changes and labour productivity from 1990 to 2018, focusing on labour shifts from less productive to more productive sectors, inter-sectoral changes in output and employment patterns, and the impact of structural changes on labour productivity. Using the Economic Transformation Database (ETD) and methodologies from various researchers, the study highlights significant structural changes in China and India, while Russia, Brazil, and South Africa show minimal change. It underscores the need for policies promoting education, vocational training, and reducing trade barriers to enhance productivity and economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mungase, Sachin & Nikam, Supriya & Kothe, Satyanarayan, 2024. "Structural Change and Labour Productivity in BRICS," MPRA Paper 121607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121607
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/121607/1/MPRA_paper_121607.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chandrasekhar, C. P., 2016. "Macroeconomic policy, employment and decent work in India," ILO Working Papers 994944592402676, International Labour Organization.
    2. Berthold Herrendorf & Todd Schoellman, 2015. "Why is Measured Productivity so Low in Agriculture?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 18(4), pages 1003-1022, October.
    3. de Vries, Gaaitzen J. & Erumban, Abdul A. & Timmer, Marcel P. & Voskoboynikov, Ilya & Wu, Harry X., 2012. "Deconstructing the BRICs: Structural transformation and aggregate productivity growth," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 211-227.
    4. Martin Wolfe, 1955. "The Concept of Economic Sectors," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 69(3), pages 402-420.
    5. Fang, Lei & Herrendorf, Berthold, 2021. "High-skilled services and development in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    6. Richard Blundell & Stephen Bond, 2000. "GMM Estimation with persistent panel data: an application to production functions," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 321-340.
    7. Abidemi C. Adegboye, 2020. "Macroeconomic policies and sustainable employment yields in sub‐Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(4), pages 515-527, December.
    8. Duncan Hodge, 2009. "Growth, Employment And Unemployment In South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(4), pages 488-504, December.
    9. Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Sevilla, Jaypee, 2004. "The Effect of Health on Economic Growth: A Production Function Approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 1-13, January.
    10. Upender, M, 2006. "Output Elasticity Of Employment In The Indian Economy. An Empirical Note," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
    11. Martin Neil Baily & Eric J. Bartelsman & John Haltiwanger, 2001. "Labor Productivity: Structural Change And Cyclical Dynamics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(3), pages 420-433, August.
    12. Daron Acemoglu & Veronica Guerrieri, 2008. "Capital Deepening and Nonbalanced Economic Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 116(3), pages 467-498, June.
    13. Francisco J. Buera & Joseph P. Kaboski, 2012. "The Rise of the Service Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(6), pages 2540-2569, October.
    14. Leif van Neuss, 2019. "The Drivers Of Structural Change," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1), pages 309-349, February.
    15. Rostislav Kapelyushnikov & Andrei Kuznetsov & Olga Kuznetsova, 2012. "The role of the informal sector, flexible working time and pay in the Russian labour market model," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 177-190, November.
    16. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2020. "Structural Change, Expanding Informality and Labor Productivity Growth in Russia," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(2), pages 394-417, June.
    17. Katouzian, M A, 1970. "The Development of the Service Sector: A New Approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 362-382, November.
    18. Jean L. Erero, 2017. "National minimum wage in South Africa: A Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis," Working Papers 119, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    19. Arup Mitra, 2016. "Productivity growth in India: determinants and policy initiatives based on the existing literature," MPDD Working Paper Series WP/16/08, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
    20. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    21. Chenery, Hollis & Taylor, Lance, 1968. "Development Patterns: Among Countries And Over Time," Center for International Affairs (CIA) Archive 294545, Harvard University, Center for International Affairs.
    22. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    23. Laurence Ball & Davide Furceri & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2019. "Does One Law Fit All? Cross-Country Evidence on Okun’s Law," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 841-874, November.
    24. Eliane Araújo & Rinaldo Galete & Carlos Eduardo Caldarelli, 2023. "Structural Change, Labor Market and Employment in Brazil after the 2017 Labor Market Reform," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 70(4), pages 627-645.
    25. PERUGINI, Cristiano, 2009. "Employment Intensity Of Growth In Italy. A Note Using Regional Data," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 9(1).
    26. Dale W. Jorgenson & Marcel P. Timmer, 2011. "Structural Change in Advanced Nations: A New Set of Stylised Facts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 113(1), pages 1-29, March.
    27. Monia Ghazali and Rim Mouelhi, 2018. "The Employment Intensity of Growth: Evidence from Tunisia," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(3), pages 85-118, September.
    28. Vu, K.M., 2017. "Structural change and economic growth: Empirical evidence and policy insights from Asian economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 64-77.
    29. Berta Rivera & Luis Currais, 2003. "The effect of health investment on growth: A causality analysis," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 9(4), pages 312-323, November.
    30. N'Zué Fofana, 2001. "Employment and Economic Growth in the Côte d'Ivoire: An Analysis of Structural Determinants," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 13(1), pages 98-113.
    31. Rohit Lamba & Arvind Subramanian, 2020. "Dynamism with Incommensurate Development: The Distinctive Indian Model," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 34(1), pages 3-30, Winter.
    32. Soumya Bhadury & Abhinav Narayanan & Bhanu Pratap, 2021. "Structural Transformation of Jobs from Manufacturing to Services: Will It Work for India?," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 15(1), pages 22-49, February.
    33. Roy, Satyaki, 2007. "Structural change in employment in India since 1980s: How Lewisian is it?," MPRA Paper 18009, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008.
    34. Azad Haider & Sunila Jabeen & Wimal Rankaduwa & Farzana Shaheen, 2023. "The Nexus between Employment and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    35. Birgitte Andersen & Marva Corley, 2003. "The Theoretical, Conceptual and Empirical Impact of the Service Economy: A Critical Review," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2003-22, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    36. Haroon Bhorat & Chris Rooney, 2017. "State Of Manufacturing In South Africa," Working Papers 201702, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Herrendorf, Berthold & Rogerson, Richard & Valentinyi, Ákos, 2014. "Growth and Structural Transformation," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 6, pages 855-941, Elsevier.
    2. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2020. "Structural Change, Expanding Informality and Labor Productivity Growth in Russia," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(2), pages 394-417, June.
    3. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_018 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Hartwig, Jochen, 2012. "Testing the growth effects of structural change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 11-24.
    5. Claire Giordano, 2023. "Revisiting the real exchange rate misalignment‐economic growth nexus via the across‐sector misallocation channel," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1329-1384, September.
    6. Yahya Z. ALSHEHHI & Jozsef POPP, 2017. "Sectoral Analysis: Growth Accounting Of Tertiary Industries," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 14, pages 221-230, August.
    7. Murat Üngör, 2016. "Did the rising importance of services decelerate overall productivity improvement of Turkey during 2002–2007?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 238-261, July.
    8. Diane Coyle & Jen‐Chung Mei, 2023. "Diagnosing the UK productivity slowdown: which sectors matter and why?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(359), pages 813-850, July.
    9. Lavopa, Alejandro & Szirmai, Adam, 2018. "Structural modernisation and development traps. An empirical approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 59-73.
    10. Rajesh Sharma, 2018. "Health and economic growth: Evidence from dynamic panel data of 143 years," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, October.
    11. Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Kotschy, Rainer & Prettner, Klaus & Schünemann, Johannes, 2024. "Health and economic growth: Reconciling the micro and macro evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    12. Ali Sen, 2024. "Structural Change at a Disaggregated Level: Sectoral Heterogeneity Matters," Working Papers 048, The Productivity Institute.
    13. Lee, Jong-Wha & McKibbin, Warwick J., 2018. "Service sector productivity and economic growth in Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 247-263.
    14. Margarida Duarte & Diego Restuccia, 2020. "Relative Prices and Sectoral Productivity," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 1400-1443.
    15. Murat Ungor, 2017. "Productivity Growth and Labor Reallocation: Latin America versus East Asia," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 25-42, March.
    16. Jochen Hartwig, 2008. "Has Health Capital Formation Cured 'Baumol's Disease'? - Panel Granger Causality Evidence for OECD Countries," KOF Working papers 08-206, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    17. Wang, Cong & Lu, Yifan, 2020. "Can economic structural change and transition explain cross-country differences in innovative activity?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    18. Alessandro Nuvolari & Emanuele Russo, 2019. "Technical progress and structural change: a long-term view," LEM Papers Series 2019/17, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    19. Bertschek, Irene & Niebel, Thomas & Ohnemus, Jörg & Rasel, Fabienne & Saam, Marianne & Schulte, Patrick & Schleife, Katrin & Stiehler, Andreas & Ortwein, Tobias & Heinzl, Armin & Nöhren, Marko, 2014. "Produktivität IT-basierter Dienstleistungen: Wie kann man sie messen und steuern?," ZEW Dokumentationen 14-02, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    20. Peter Bauer & Igor Fedotenkov & Aurelien Genty & Issam Hallak & Peter Harasztosi & David Martinez Turegano & David Nguyen & Nadir Preziosi & Ana Rincon-Aznar & Miguel Sanchez Martinez, 2020. "Productivity in Europe: Trends and drivers in a service-based economy," JRC Research Reports JRC119785, Joint Research Centre.
    21. Hagen Kruse & Emmanuel Mensah & Kunal Sen & Gaaitzen Vries, 2023. "A Manufacturing (Re)Naissance? Industrialization in the Developing World," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 439-473, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    BRICS Countries; GDP Growth Rates; Structural Change; Labour Productivity; Economic Growth; Resource Reallocation; Employment Patterns; Sectoral Shifts; Economic Transformation Database (ETD); Inter-Sectoral Changes; China Economic Growth; India Economic Growth; Russia Economic Growth; Brazil Economic Growth; South Africa Economic Growth; Education and Vocational Training; Trade Barriers; Policy Recommendations; Productivity Enhancement; 1990-2018 Economic Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121607. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.