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What Lies beneath? A Sub-National Look at Okun’s Law in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Nathalie Gonzalez Prieto

    (University of Maryland)

  • Prakash Loungani

    (IMF
    OCP Policy Center)

  • Saurabh Mishra

    (University of Maryland)

Abstract

We find that Okun’s Law holds quite well for most U.S. states but the Okun coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to output—varies substantially across states. We are able to explain a significant part of this cross-state heterogeneity on the basis of the state’s industrial structure. Our results have implications for the design of state and federal policies and may also be able to explain why Okun’s Law at the national level has remained quite stable over time despite an enormous shift in the structure of the U.S. economy from manufacturing to services.

Suggested Citation

  • Nathalie Gonzalez Prieto & Prakash Loungani & Saurabh Mishra, 2018. "What Lies beneath? A Sub-National Look at Okun’s Law in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 835-852, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:29:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s11079-018-9491-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-018-9491-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laurence Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2017. "Okun's Law: Fit at 50?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(7), pages 1413-1441, October.
    2. Binet Marie-estelle & Francois Facchini, 2013. "Okun's law in the french regions: a cross-regional comparison," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 420-433.
    3. Binet Marie-estelle & Francois Facchini, 2013. "Okun's law in the french regions: a cross-regional comparison," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 420-433.
    4. Marie-Estelle Binet & François Facchini, 2013. "Okun's Law in the French Regions: A Cross-Regional Comparison," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00812549, HAL.
    5. Davide Furceri & Ernesto Crivelli & Mr. Joël Toujas-Bernate, 2012. "Can Policies Affect Employment Intensity of Growth? A Cross-Country Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2012/218, International Monetary Fund.
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