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Critique of Impact Assessment of Regional Trade Agreements using Non-Tariff Measures

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  • Banga, Rashmi

Abstract

A recent study undertaken by Kawasaki (2017) uses a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the impact of removal tariffs and non-tariff measures on trade flows and the overall gross domestic product (GDP) of the remaining 11 countries in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP11) partner countries. This note attempts to provide insights into such estimations so as to help in real impact assessments of the tariff and non-tariff provisions of agreements such as the TPP11. It warns that policy makers who seek to rely on such studies need to be aware of the large number of assumptions that underlie the quantification of the non-tariff measures, including that regulation is necessarily negative for trade, and other limitations of the methodology used. The paper also notes these are only one aspect of the broader economic impacts of an agreement that includes chapters on intellectual property, investor protections, government procurement, and state-owned enterprises, among others.

Suggested Citation

  • Banga, Rashmi, 2017. "Critique of Impact Assessment of Regional Trade Agreements using Non-Tariff Measures," MPRA Paper 81394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:81394
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fugazza, Marco & Maur, Jean-Christophe, 2008. "Non-tariff barriers in CGE models: How useful for policy?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 475-490.
    2. Olivier Cadot & Alan Asprilla & Julien Gourdon & Ralph Peters & Christian Knebel, 2015. "Deep Regional Integration And Non-Tariff Measures: A Methodology For Data Analysis," UNCTAD Blue Series Papers 69, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    3. Alan V. Deardorff & Robert M. Stern, 1997. "Measurement of Non-Tariff Barriers," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 179, OECD Publishing.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    TPP11; CGE; NTMS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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