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Determinants of NEETs, using Granger Causality Tests: Applications to ECE and Arab Economies

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  • Driouchi, Ahmed
  • Harkat, Tahar

Abstract

The current paper aims at establishing the likely causality between NEETs and other economic, social and political variables in the countries of Central and East European economies (ECE) with a focus on the situation of Arab economies. A literature review on NEETs has allowed for finding the magnitude and extent of non-regular and vocation education besides non-employment among the youngest segments of the population. Granger causality tests are applied to the available data to establish the likelihood of the determinants of NEETs. The hypotheses for testing relate to the links between NEETs, education, employment, health, and governance variables. The findings show that there is causality between NEETs and other economic, social and governance indicators. The findings also indicate that NEETs do not have common traits as their determinants differ from a country to another. The NEETs have a unique model for each economy that causes or might be caused with one or a range of variables. These results emphasize that countries and especially Arab countries need to monitor NEETs and pursue analyzes that allow for the enhancement of their policy making processes using relevant and accurate information.

Suggested Citation

  • Driouchi, Ahmed & Harkat, Tahar, 2017. "Determinants of NEETs, using Granger Causality Tests: Applications to ECE and Arab Economies," MPRA Paper 78099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:78099
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/78099/1/MPRA_paper_78099.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. International Labour Office., 2013. "Global employment trends for youth 2013 : a generation at risk," Global Employment Trends Reports 994816973402676, International Labour Office, Economic and Labour Market Analysis Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Ciccarelli & Marco Di Domizio & Elena Fabrizi, 2017. "Some Remarks On The Causal Relationship Between Family Backgrounds And Neet Status," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 71(3), pages 71-80, July-Sept.
    2. Driouchi, Ahmed & Harkat, Tahar, 2017. "Youth Inclusion Policies and NEETs’ Targeting Requirements in Arab Countries," MPRA Paper 80622, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Harkat, Tahar & Driouchi, Ahmed, 2018. "Understanding Youth in Arab Countries:," MPRA Paper 83843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Harkat, Tahar & Driouchi, Ahmed, 2018. "فهم الشباب في البلدان العربية [Understanding Youth in Arab Countries]," MPRA Paper 84184, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keywords: NEETs; Arab countries; ECE countries; Granger causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion

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