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The Relationship among Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in Turkey

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  • Bakari, Sayef
  • MABROUKI, Mohamed

Abstract

This paper studies the nexus between exports, imports, and economic growth in Turkey. Annual data for the periods between 1960 and 2015 was tested by practicing Johansen co-integration analysis of Vector Auto Regression Model and the Granger-Causality tests. According to the result of the analysis, there is no relationship between exports, imports and economic growth in Turkey. On the other hand, we found that there is a strong evidence of bidirectional causality from imports to economic growth and from exports to economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Bakari, Sayef & MABROUKI, Mohamed, 2016. "The Relationship among Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in Turkey," MPRA Paper 76044, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76044
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Hashim, Khairul & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "What causes economic growth in Malaysia: exports or imports ?," MPRA Paper 62366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    4. Nikolaos Dritsakis & Pavlos Stamatiou, 2016. "Trade Openness and Economic Growth: A Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis for the Newest EU Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(59), pages 45-60, March.
    5. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sayef Bakari & Sofien Tiba, 2022. "Agricultural Exports, Agricultural Imports And Economic Growth In China," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 7(3), pages 35-61, September.
    2. K. Krishna REDDY, 2020. "Exports, imports and economic growth in India: An empirical analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(625), W), pages 323-330, Winter.
    3. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Nexus between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth in Developed Countries: Do Exports matter?," MPRA Paper 114394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Emilda Hashim & Norimah Rambeli & Asmawi Hashim & Norasibah Abdul Jalil & Shahrun Nizam Abdul Aziz & Noor Al Huda Abdul Karim, 2019. "Dynamic Relationship Between Real Export, Real Import, Real Exchange Rate, Labor Force and Real Gross Domestic Product in Malaysia," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 20-29, December.
    5. Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "The Role of Digitalization, Natural Resources, and Trade Openness in Driving Economic Growth: Fresh Insights from East Asia-Pacific Countries," MPRA Paper 121643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. El Weriemmi, Malek & Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "The Impact of Agricultural Exports on Economic Growth: New Evidence from Low Income Countries," MPRA Paper 121631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nadia Ben Yedder & Malek El Weriemmi & Sayef Bakari, 2023. "The Impact of Domestic Investment and Trade on Economic Growth in North Africa Countries: New Evidence from Panel CS-ARDL Model," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(42), pages 22-41, November.
    8. Mohd. FAYAZ & Sandeep KAUR, 2019. "An Empirical Analysis Of The Determinants Of India’S High-Technology Exports," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(2), pages 29-44.
    9. Michel Lioussis & Mònica Serrano, 2022. "Services trade contribution on global income generation (2000 - 2014) Abstract: This paper investigates the contribution of services trade to the variation of global income generation for the period o," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2022/423, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    10. Mkadmi, Jamel Eddine & Bakari, Sayef & Msai, Achwak, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of Tax Policies on Economic Growth in Tunisia: New Empirical and Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 109023, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. SazanTaher Saeed & Dr. Hatem HatefAbdulkadhimAltaee, 2017. "Export and Economic Growth Nexus in the GCC Countries: A panel Data Approach," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 7(12), pages 1-9, December.
    12. El Weriemmi, Malek & Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "The Impact of CO2 Emissions, Domestic Investment and Trade Openness on Economic Growth: New Evidence from North African Countries," MPRA Paper 122152, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Spahiu Muhamet J. & Durguti Esat A., 2023. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Export: Evidence from Kosovo," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 33(2), pages 95-111, June.
    14. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Impact of Natural resources, CO2 Emission, Energy use, Domestic Investment, Innovation, Trade and Digitalization on Economic growth: Evidence from 52 African Countries," MPRA Paper 114323, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "Link among Domestic Investments, Exports and Economic Growth: New Evidence from Australia," MPRA Paper 121604, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Bakari, Sayef, 2021. "Reinvest the relationship between exports and economic growth in African countries: New insights from innovative econometric methods," MPRA Paper 108785, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. P.Govindan, 2020. "A Study On Growth And Impacts Of India’S Foreign Trade -An Engine For Entrepreneurship And Economic Development," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(2), pages 161-174.
    18. Bakari, Sayef, 2024. "Causality between Domestic Investment and Economic Growth: New Evidence from Argentina," MPRA Paper 121799, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export; Import; Economic Growth; Turkey; Cointegration; VAR and Causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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