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What causes economic growth in Malaysia: exports or imports ?

Author

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  • Hashim, Khairul
  • Masih, Mansur

Abstract

Most of previous researches have only focused on the effect of export expansion on economic growth while ignoring the potential of import in developing economic growth. This study makes an attempt to examine the relationship between trade and economic growth in Malaysia with emphasis on both the role of exports and imports. This study treats exports and imports separately to allow for the possibility that their influence toward economic growth is asymmetric and adopts recent advances in time series modeling. This study used Granger causality test and impulse response functions to examine whether growth in trade stimulates economic growth. It is important to examine the linkage between trade and economic growth for Malaysia in order to provide evidence whether rapid economic growth in the region is driven by trade or whether there is reciprocal impact between growth and trade. The results tend to suggest that the singular focus of past studies on exports as engine of growth may be misleading. The results confirm the bidirectional long run relationships between the economic growth and exports, economic growth and imports and exports and imports. From a policy point of view, investigating the causal links between trade and economic growth generates important implications for the development strategies of developing countries. If exports drive economic growth, policy should promote exports, and likewise for imports.

Suggested Citation

  • Hashim, Khairul & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "What causes economic growth in Malaysia: exports or imports ?," MPRA Paper 62366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:62366
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/62366/1/MPRA_paper_62366.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Houda Ben Haj Boubaker, 2011. "Exports, Imports and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Tunisia," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(1), pages 6-21, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tampubolon, Jongkers, 2023. "Food and agricultural sector in Indonesia’s economic growth during COVID-19 pandemic: an ARDL approach," Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, vol. 9(2), June.
    2. Amjad, Y. & Naseeem, N.A.M & Azman-Saini, W.N.W. & Masron, tajul & Kriskkumar, K., 2018. "Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: New Evidence Using Disaggregated Data of Exports," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(3), pages 167-179.
    3. Mohd. FAYAZ & Sandeep KAUR, 2019. "An Empirical Analysis Of The Determinants Of India’S High-Technology Exports," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(2), pages 29-44.
    4. Magdalena Vlahova-Veleva, 2020. "The Euro‘s effect on trade," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 26-45,46-65.
    5. Novelia SUSANTI & Didik SUSETYO & Dr. AZWARDI, 2018. "Does financial sector affect economic development in ASEAN during 2010-2016?," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(617), W), pages 205-220, Winter.
    6. Bakari, Sayef & MABROUKI, Mohamed, 2016. "The Relationship among Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in Turkey," MPRA Paper 76044, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; exports; imports; time series techniques;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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