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Small Inflation Model of Mongolia (SIMOM)

Author

Listed:
  • Damdinsuren, Batnyam
  • Doojav, Gan-Ochir
  • Łyziak, Tomasz

Abstract

This paper describes a preliminary version of the small inflation model of Mongolia (SIMOM). The intended primary use of the model is analysis of the monetary transmission mechanism and the inflation process in Mongolia, estimation of dynamic responses of selected variables to different shocks hitting the Mongolian economy as well as forecasting macroeconomic categories (e.g. exchange rate, output gap, inflation) over a medium term, consistent with the lags in the monetary transmission mechanism. Conclusions from the paper are the following: Mongolian inflation is driven by a large number of shocks, both internal and external. At the same time the effectiveness of the monetary transmission mechanism is relatively weak (although stronger than previously perceived). The exchange rate channel seems to be the most important channel of monetary transmission mechanism in Mongolia.

Suggested Citation

  • Damdinsuren, Batnyam & Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Łyziak, Tomasz, 2008. "Small Inflation Model of Mongolia (SIMOM)," MPRA Paper 72139, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2008.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:72139
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/72139/2/simom.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Frank Hespeler, 2013. "A VECM evaluation of monetary transmission in Uzbekistan," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 219-253, May.
    2. Gan-Ochir Doojav & Kaliappa Kalirajan, 2016. "Interest Rate Pass-Through in Mongolia," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(4), pages 271-291, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation dynamics; Structural econometric model; inflation forecasting; Monetary transmission mechanism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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