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Determinants of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate and its Misalignment in Kenya: A Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Approach

Author

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  • Kiptui, Moses C.
  • Ndirangu, Lydia

Abstract

This paper examines the real exchange rate misalignment in Kenya using quarterly data over the period 2000 – 2014. The Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach to determine the extent of exchange rate misalignment is adopted. A vector error correction model (VECM) is estimated and the results show that the real exchange rate is largely driven by fundamentals. Thus, the equilibrium real exchange rate has been closely aligned to its long run equilibrium level, save for instances when misalignment occurred due to major economic shock such as the recent global financial crisis and the Euro zone economic crisis. Hence, given the managed float regime in Kenya, exchange rates keep adjusting to changing economic fundamentals.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiptui, Moses C. & Ndirangu, Lydia, 2015. "Determinants of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate and its Misalignment in Kenya: A Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Approach," MPRA Paper 70542, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Apr 2016.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:70542
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ronald MacDonald & Flávio Vieira, "undated". "A panel data investigation of real exchange rate misalignment and growth," Working Papers 2010_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    2. Kiptui, Moses, 2015. "Sources of Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Kenya: The Relative Importance of Real and Nominal Shocks," MPRA Paper 61515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Abu Bakarr TARAWALIE, 2021. "Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate and Misalignment: The Sierra Leone Perspective," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 41-49, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate; equilibrium; misalignment; Kenya;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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