IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/34736.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Which Matters the Most for the Trading Index? (Law and Order or Weather Conditions)

Author

Listed:
  • Hasan, Syed Akif
  • Subhani, Muhammad Imtiaz

Abstract

Stock Markets are the indicators of economic activity taking place in an economy. There are multiple factors that can affect the performance of a Stock market. Besides the economical factors, the human behavior, the mood, willingness to pay and consumption patterns of people also plays an important role and affect the performance of a stock market. It has been empirically proven that human behavior is enormously and strongly influenced by the various weather conditions and law and order situation of the territory. This study investigates the effect of various weather conditions and law and order situation of Karachi on Karachi Stock Exchange trading volume. The daily data which includes various weather conditions, law and order situations of the city and the trading volume of Karachi Stock exchange for the period from January 1995 to December 2010 has been tested. The study found that there is a significant impact of law and order situation on Karachi Stock Exchange trading volume, and likewise, weather conditions also regulate the performance of Karachi Stock Exchange most often. Temperature is a very significant driving factor in impacting the trading volume of Karachi Stock Exchange whereas, Humidity and Sea Level Pressure also has a significant impact on KSE performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Hasan, Syed Akif & Subhani, Muhammad Imtiaz, 2011. "Which Matters the Most for the Trading Index? (Law and Order or Weather Conditions)," MPRA Paper 34736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:34736
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/34736/1/MPRA_paper_34736.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tsangyao Chang & Wen-Chi Liu, 2008. "Rational Bubbles in the Korea Stock Market? Further Evidence based on Nonlinear and Nonparametric Cointegration Tests," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(34), pages 1-12.
    2. William N. Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2005. "Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 11(5), pages 559-578, November.
    3. Kang, Sang Hoon & Jiang, Zhuhua & Lee, Yeonjeong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2010. "Weather effects on the returns and volatility of the Shanghai stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(1), pages 91-99.
    4. Subhani, Muhammad Imtiaz & Osman, Ms. Amber, 2011. "Stock Market Reactions due to Announcements of Consumer Price Index and the Investigation of Endogeneity," MPRA Paper 34725, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Symeonidis, Lazaros & Daskalakis, George & Markellos, Raphael N., 2010. "Does the weather affect stock market volatility?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 214-223, December.
    6. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2008:i:34:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Saunders, Edward M, Jr, 1993. "Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1337-1345, December.
    8. Murray, Kyle B. & Di Muro, Fabrizio & Finn, Adam & Popkowski Leszczyc, Peter, 2010. "The effect of weather on consumer spending," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 512-520.
    9. Subhani, Muhammad Imtiaz & Osman, Ms. Amber & Lakhiya, Zubair, 2011. "The Structure and Performance of Economy of Pakistan (Comparative Study between Democratic and Non-Democratic Governments)," MPRA Paper 34732, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hyein Shim & Maria H. Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Effects of intraday weather changes on asset returns and volatilities," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 301-330.
    2. Nils Muhlack & Christian Soost & Christian Johannes Henrich, 2022. "Does Weather Still Affect The Stock Market?," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 74(1), pages 1-35, March.
    3. Yang, Chih-Yuan & Jhang, Ling-Jhen & Chang, Chia-Chien, 2016. "Do investor sentiment, weather and catastrophe effects improve hedging performance? Evidence from the Taiwan options market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 35-51.
    4. Lu, Jing & Chou, Robin K., 2012. "Does the weather have impacts on returns and trading activities in order-driven stock markets? Evidence from China," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 79-93.
    5. Nicholas Apergis & Alexandros Gabrielsen & Lee Smales, 2016. "(Unusual) weather and stock returns—I am not in the mood for mood: further evidence from international markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 30(1), pages 63-94, February.
    6. Edimilson Costa Lucas & Wesley Mendes Da Silva & Gustavo Silva Araujo, 2017. "Does Extreme Rainfall Lead to Heavy Economic Losses in the Food Industry?," Working Papers Series 462, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Christos Floros, 2011. "On the relationship between weather and stock market returns," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 28(1), pages 5-13, March.
    8. Kim, Jae H., 2017. "Stock returns and investors' mood: Good day sunshine or spurious correlation?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 94-103.
    9. Juan Rincon-Patino & Emmanuel Lasso & Juan Carlos Corrales, 2018. "Estimating Avocado Sales Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Weather Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-12, September.
    10. Ting Yao & Yue‐Jun Zhang, 2024. "The impact of air pollution on crude oil futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 1055-1068, June.
    11. Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    12. Shahzad, Farrukh, 2019. "Does weather influence investor behavior, stock returns, and volatility? Evidence from the Greater China region," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 525-543.
    13. Filiz, Ibrahim & Nahmer, Thomas & Spiwoks, Markus, 2019. "Herd behavior and mood: An experimental study on the forecasting of share prices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    14. Waldemar Tarczyński & Urszula Mentel & Grzegorz Mentel & Umer Shahzad, 2021. "The Influence of Investors’ Mood on the Stock Prices: Evidence from Energy Firms in Warsaw Stock Exchange, Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, November.
    15. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    16. Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
    17. Chatterjee, Sucharita & Ghosh, Dipak, 2021. "Impact of Global Warming on SENSEX fluctuations — A study based on Multifractal detrended cross correlation analysis between the temperature anomalies and the SENSEX fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    18. Muhammad Fayyaz Sheikh & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah & Shahid Mahmood, 2017. "Weather Effects on Stock Returns and Volatility in South Asian Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 24(2), pages 75-107, June.
    19. Qadan, Mahmoud & Aharon, David Y., 2019. "How much happiness can we find in the U.S. fear Index?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 246-258.
    20. Gori, Leonella & Teti, Emanuele & Loi, Andrea & Dallocchio, Maurizio, 2020. "Seasonal darkness and IPO," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 494-508.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trading Volume; Weather Conditions; Law and Order Situations; Karachi Stock exchange;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:34736. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.