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Dynamic inter-relationship between trade, economic growth and tourism in Malaysia

Author

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  • Sarmidi, Tamat
  • Salleh, Norlida H

Abstract

This study aims to test a hypothesis that postulate a positive inter-relationship between international flows of tourist, trade and economic growth. Although tourism is one of the major components in the trade of services, and it has been certified by large number of literatures on the strong correlation between tourism industry and economic development, yet not much is known on the dynamic inter-relationship between these three variables. Closing-up this gaping hole, this study employs the cointegration tests under autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) structure to investigate a dynamic inter-relationship between economic development, total trade (import and export) and number of tourist arrival for Malaysia and her major tourism partners ((ASEAN countries) . The estimated result based on the long run time series behavior for number of tourist arrival, volume of total trade and economic development’s indicator shows that these three variables are moved in tandem. Interestingly, in the analysis of short run behavior, we find that number of tourist arrival has significantly Granger caused total trade flows at least for some countries. At the same time, in the short-run, we find that both growth in total trade (export and import) and international tourists’ arrival to Malaysia have uni-directionally Granger caused real income growth and there is statistical evidence for international trade to lead tourist arrival.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarmidi, Tamat & Salleh, Norlida H, 2010. "Dynamic inter-relationship between trade, economic growth and tourism in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 21056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21056
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21056/1/MPRA_paper_21056.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Christian Fischer & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2005. "The Nature of the Relationship between International Tourism and International Trade: The Case of Ge," Faculty Working Papers 15/05, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
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    7. Jordan Shan & Ken Wilson, 2001. "Causality between trade and tourism: empirical evidence from China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 279-283.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ogechi Adeola & Nathaniel Boso & Olaniyi Evans, 2018. "Drivers of international tourism demand in Africa," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 25-36, January.
    2. Zahid Ahmad* & Anam Tariq**, 2013. "Impact of International Trade on departed tourists : A case of the South and South-East Asian region," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 23(1), pages 1-12.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; trade; tourism; cointegration; and Malaysia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General

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