IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/19369.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Un Modelo SARIMA para Predecir la Tasa de Desempleo de Chile
[A model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment]

Author

Listed:
  • Idrovo Aguirre, Byron
  • Contreras, Javier

Abstract

This paper it proposes a model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment

Suggested Citation

  • Idrovo Aguirre, Byron & Contreras, Javier, 2009. "Un Modelo SARIMA para Predecir la Tasa de Desempleo de Chile [A model SARIMA to predict chilean unemployment]," MPRA Paper 19369, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Sep 2009.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19369
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/19369/1/MPRA_paper_19369.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2005. "General Equilibrium Models: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.),General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 1, pages 001-027, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Rómulo Chumacero & Jorge Quiroz, 1996. "La Tasa Natural de Crecimiento de la Economía Chilena: 1985-1996," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 33(100), pages 453-472.
    3. Christian Johnson, 2001. "Un Modelo de Switching para el Crecimiento en Chile," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 38(115), pages 291-319.
    4. Valderio A. Reisen, 1994. "ESTIMATION OF THE FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCE PARAMETER IN THE ARIMA(p, d, q) MODEL USING THE SMOOTHED PERIODOGRAM," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 335-350, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erhard Reschenhofer & Manveer K. Mangat, 2021. "Fast computation and practical use of amplitudes at non-Fourier frequencies," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 1755-1773, September.
    2. David McMillan & Alan Speight, 2006. "Heterogeneous information flows and intra-day volatility dynamics: evidence from the UK FTSE-100 stock index futures market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(13), pages 959-972.
    3. Arend, Mario & Norambuena, Vivian, 2005. "Análisis para Chile del efecto de un shock adverso de términos de intercambio sobre el tipo de cambio y la cuenta corriente [Analysis of the Effects of a Negative Terms-of-Trade Shock over the Real," MPRA Paper 27175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. David G. McMillan, 2009. "Are Uk Share Prices Too High? Fundamental Value Or New Era," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Manveer Kaur Mangat & Erhard Reschenhofer, 2020. "Frequency-Domain Evidence for Climate Change," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    6. João Sousa Andrade & António Portugal Duarte, 2015. "Optimum Currency Areas, Real and Nominal Convergence in the European Union," Notas Econ micas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 42, pages 8-29, December.
    7. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
    8. Dierk Herzer, 2005. "Does Trade Increase Total Factor Productivity: Cointegration Evidence for Chile," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 115, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Rodrigo Caputo & Felipe Liendo & Juan Pablo Medina, 2006. "New Keynesian Models For Chile During The Inflation Targeting Regime: A Structural Approach," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(3), pages 73-95, December.
    10. Rómulo Chumacero Escudero, 2000. "Se busca una raíz unitaria: evidencia para Chile," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 27(1 Year 20), pages 55-68, June.
    11. Yixun Xing & Wayne A. Woodward, 2021. "R-Squared-Bootstrapping for Gegenbauer-Type Long Memory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 773-790, February.
    12. Rómulo A. Chumacero, 2005. "A Toolkit for Analyzing Alternative Policies in the Chilean Economy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (S (ed.),General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edition 1, volume 9, chapter 8, pages 261-302, Central Bank of Chile.
    13. Saâdaoui, Foued & Rabbouch, Hana, 2024. "Financial forecasting improvement with LSTM-ARFIMA hybrid models and non-Gaussian distributions," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    14. Leïla Nouira & Mohamed Boutahar & Vêlayoudom Marimoutou, 2009. "The effect of tapering on the semiparametric estimators for nonstationary long memory processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 225-248, March.
    15. Shang Han Lin, 2020. "A Comparison of Hurst Exponent Estimators in Long-range Dependent Curve Time Series," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-39, January.
    16. Florian Heinen & Philipp Sibbertsen & Robinson Kruse, 2009. "Forecasting long memory time series under a break in persistence," CREATES Research Papers 2009-53, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    17. Ding, Liang & Luo, Yi & Lin, Yan & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "Revisiting the relations between Hurst exponent and fractional differencing parameter for long memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    18. Erhard Reschenhofer & Manveer K. Mangat, 2020. "Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-15, October.
    19. Moreira, Ricardo Ramalhete & Monte, Edson Zambon, 2020. "Reviewing monetary policy inertia and its effects: The fractional integration approach for an emerging economy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 34-41.
    20. Cerda, Rodrigo & Vergara, Rodrigo, 2007. "Unemployment insurance in Chile: Does it stabilize the business cycle?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 473-488.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tasa de desempleo; Modelo SARIMA; Estacionalidad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19369. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.