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Does Macroeconomic Indicators exert shock on the Nigerian Capital Market?

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  • Maku, Olukayode E.
  • Atanda, Akinwande A.

Abstract

This study examines the long-run and short-run effect of macroeconomic variables on the Nigerian capital market between 1984 and 2007. The properties of the time series variables are examined using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and most of the variables have a unit root at level. The Augmented Engle-Granger Cointegration test revealed that macroeconomic variables exert significant long-run effect on stock market performance in Nigeria. Also, the employed Error Correction Model (ECM) showed that macroeconomic variables exert significant short-term shock on stock prices as a result of the stochastic error term mechanisms. However, the empirical analysis showed that the NSE all share index is more responsive to changes in exchange rate, inflation rate, money supply and real output. While, all the incorporated variables which serve as proxies for external shock and other macroeconomic indicators have simultaneous significant impact on the Nigerian capital market both in the short and long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Maku, Olukayode E. & Atanda, Akinwande A., 2009. "Does Macroeconomic Indicators exert shock on the Nigerian Capital Market?," MPRA Paper 17917, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:17917
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Adam, Anokye M. & Tweneboah, George, 2008. "Do macroeconomic variables play any role in the stock market movement in Ghana?," MPRA Paper 9357, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008.
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    4. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July.
    5. Tarun K. Mukherjee & Atsuyuki Naka, 1995. "Dynamic Relations Between Macroeconomic Variables And The Japanese Stock Market: An Application Of A Vector Error Correction Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 223-237, June.
    6. Mukherjee, Tarun K & Naka, Atsuyuki, 1995. "Dynamic Relations between Macroeconomic Variables and the Japanese Stock Market: An Application of a Vector Error Correction Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 18(2), pages 223-237, Summer.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sanya Ogunsakin & Isaac Tope Awe, 2020. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Performance in Nigeria," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(4), pages 139-158, December.
    2. Awolaja, Gbenga Oladapo & Musa, Dasauki C., 2017. "Asymmetric Oil Price Shocks and Stock Prices in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 92891, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Edirin Jeroh, 2012. "Interest Rate Variations and Stock Market Capitalization in Nigeria: An Empirical Analysis," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 5(5), pages 5-14, October.
    4. Adesoye, A. Bolaji & Atanda, Akinwande AbdulMaliq, 2012. "Monetary Policy and Share Pricing Business in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 35846, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji & Anthony Orji & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, 2018. "Analysis of Stock Market Development, Foreign Private Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 10(1-2), pages 1-17, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic Shock; Macroeconomic Variables; Capital Market; Unit root and Cointegration.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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