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Determinants of monetary policy frameworks in emerging and developing countries

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  • Sullivan, Megan

Abstract

This paper investigates the determinants of countries’ choice of monetary policy frameworks for emerging and developing countries. It draws on the literature concerning how exchange rate regimes are determined, and the much smaller body of literature on determination of monetary policy frameworks (for advanced and emerging countries), to identify 3 approaches that account for countries’ choice of monetary policy framework. We empirically test the joint relevance of the variables within each theory and find them to be jointly statistically significant. A key highlight of this paper is that it uses an (emerging and developing) country tailored variable that measures trade networks of potential currency blocs. The model correctly predicts 79% of countries’ choice of framework, when aggregated by target variable, and 84% of countries’ choices, when aggregated by degree of monetary control.

Suggested Citation

  • Sullivan, Megan, 2023. "Determinants of monetary policy frameworks in emerging and developing countries," MPRA Paper 118398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:118398
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. David Cobham, 2022. "Monetary policy frameworks in the Middle East and North Africa: How do they compare with other groupings?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(1), pages 108-130, February.
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    4. Cobham, David & Song, Mengdi, 2020. "How do countries choose their monetary policy frameworks?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1187-1207.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy frameworks; trade networks; inflation targets; exchange rate targets; discretion; central bank independence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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