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Double-conditional smoothing of high-frequency volatility surface in a spatial multiplicative component GARCH with random effects

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  • Yuanhua Feng

    (University of Paderborn)

Abstract

This paper introduces a spatial framework for high-frequency returns and a faster double-conditional smoothing algorithm to carry out bivariate kernel estimation of the volatility surface. A spatial multiplicative component GARCH with random effects is proposed to deal with multiplicative random effects found from the data. It is shown that the probabilistic properties of the stochastic part and the asymptotic properties of the kernel volatility surface estimator are all strongly affected by the multiplicative random effects. Data example shows that the volatility surface before, during and after the 2008 financial crisis forms a volatility saddle.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanhua Feng, 2013. "Double-conditional smoothing of high-frequency volatility surface in a spatial multiplicative component GARCH with random effects," Working Papers CIE 65, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pdn:ciepap:65
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    File URL: http://groups.uni-paderborn.de/wp-wiwi/RePEc/pdf/ciepap/WP65.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1997. "Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 115-158, June.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    3. Heiler, Siegfried & Feng, Yuanhua, 1997. "A bootstrap bandwidth selector for local polynomial fitting," Discussion Papers, Series II 344, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    4. Feng, Yuanhua & McNeil, Alexander J., 2008. "Modelling of scale change, periodicity and conditional heteroskedasticity in return volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 850-867, September.
    5. Feng, Yuanhua, 2004. "Simultaneously Modeling Conditional Heteroskedasticity And Scale Change," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 563-596, June.
    6. Heiler, Siegfried & Feng, Yuanhua, 1995. "A simple root n bandwidth selector for nonparametric regression," Discussion Papers, Series II 286, University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy".
    7. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:1:p:219-265 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Cai, Jun, 2000. "Intraday and interday volatility in the Japanese stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 107-130, June.
    9. Härdle, Wolfgang & Tsybakov, A. & Yang, L., 1996. "Nonparametric Vector Autoregression," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1996,61, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yuanhua Feng & Sarah Forstinger & Christian Peitz, 2013. "On the iterative plug-in algorithm for estimating diurnal patterns of financial trade durations," Working Papers CIE 66, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    2. Bastian Schäfer, 2021. "Bandwidth selection for the Local Polynomial Double Conditional Smoothing under Spatial ARMA Errors," Working Papers CIE 146, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spatial multiplicative component GARCH; high-frequency returns; double-conditional smoothing; multiplicative random effect; volatility arch; volatility saddle.;
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