IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/osfxxx/r382h.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

To understand climate change adaptation we must characterize climate variability. Here’s how

Author

Listed:
  • Pisor, Anne

    (Washington State University)

  • Touma, Danielle
  • Singh, Deepti
  • Jones, James Holland

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

Climate change adaptation involves the management of the climate-related risks, and the IPCC says we must prioritize adaptation immediately. However, researchers and policymakers have little systematic understanding of which adaptations actually reduce risks, including under different climate conditions. Drawing on data from human communities past and present, we review how features of climate variability—temporal autocorrelation, frequency, and severity—may predict which candidate climate change adaptations communities innovate or adopt. Using a case study of climate and remittances in Africa, we outline how researchers can characterize climate data by their autocorrelation, frequency, and severity, and then qualitatively compare these data to candidate adaptations. We include suggestions for how to involve communities in these explorations, from setting climate thresholds to identifying impactful hazards. By better understanding the relationship between climate variability and common solutions used by communities, researchers and policymakers can better support communities as they adapt to contemporary climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Pisor, Anne & Touma, Danielle & Singh, Deepti & Jones, James Holland, 2023. "To understand climate change adaptation we must characterize climate variability. Here’s how," OSF Preprints r382h, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:r382h
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/r382h
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/63dbd7097d0187034fbc497e/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/r382h?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. V. Savo & D. Lepofsky & J. P. Benner & K. E. Kohfeld & J. Bailey & K. Lertzman, 2016. "Observations of climate change among subsistence-oriented communities around the world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 462-473, May.
    2. Deepti Singh & Subimal Ghosh & Mathew K. Roxy & Sonali McDermid, 2019. "Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(2), March.
    3. Tanya Broesch & Alyssa Crittenden & Bret A. Beheim & Aaron D. Blackwell & John Bunce & Heidi Colleran & Kristin Hagel & Michelle Kline & Richard Mcelreath & Robin Nelson & Anne Pisor & Sean Prall & Il, 2020. "Navigating cross-cultural research: methodological and ethical considerations," Post-Print hal-02952162, HAL.
    4. Geeta G. Persad & Bjørn H. Samset & Laura J. Wilcox, 2022. "Aerosols must be included in climate risk assessments," Nature, Nature, vol. 611(7937), pages 662-664, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Caviedes, Julián & Ibarra, José Tomás & Calvet-Mir, Laura & Álvarez-Fernández, Santiago & Junqueira, André Braga, 2024. "Indigenous and local knowledge on social-ecological changes is positively associated with livelihood resilience in a Globally Important Agricultural Heritage System," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    2. Uttam Babu Shrestha & Asheshwor Man Shrestha & Suman Aryal & Sujata Shrestha & Madhu Sudan Gautam & Hemant Ojha, 2019. "Climate change in Nepal: a comprehensive analysis of instrumental data and people’s perceptions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(3), pages 315-334, June.
    3. Juliana Freitas Santos & Udo Schickhoff & Shabeh ul Hasson & Jürgen Böhner, 2023. "Biogeophysical Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes in South Asia: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-25, April.
    4. Sarita Albagli & Allan Yu Iwama, 2022. "Citizen science and the right to research: building local knowledge of climate change impacts," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Rebecca Jo Stormes Newman & Claudia Capitani & Colin Courtney-Mustaphi & Jessica Paula Rose Thorn & Rebecca Kariuki & Charis Enns & Robert Marchant, 2020. "Integrating Insights from Social-Ecological Interactions into Sustainable Land Use Change Scenarios for Small Islands in the Western Indian Ocean," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, February.
    6. Mark D. Risser & William D. Collins & Michael F. Wehner & Travis A. O’Brien & Huanping Huang & Paul A. Ullrich, 2024. "Anthropogenic aerosols mask increases in US rainfall by greenhouse gases," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Grusson, Youen & Wesström, Ingrid & Joel, Abraham, 2021. "Impact of climate change on Swedish agriculture: Growing season rain deficit and irrigation need," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    8. Isabella Dobrescu & Alberto Motta & Richard Holden & Adrian Piccoli, 2021. "Cultural Context in Standardized Tests," Discussion Papers 2021-08, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    9. Mucahid Mustafa Bayrak & Yi-Ya Hsu & Li-San Hung & Huei-Min Tsai & tibusungu ‘e vayayana, 2020. "Global Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples in Taiwan: A Critical Bibliometric Analysis and Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-27, December.
    10. Jan van der Ploeg & Meshach Sukulu & Hugh Govan & Tessa Minter & Hampus Eriksson, 2020. "Sinking Islands, Drowned Logic; Climate Change and Community-Based Adaptation Discourses in Solomon Islands," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, September.
    11. Yaoping Wang & Jiafu Mao & Forrest M. Hoffman & Céline J. W. Bonfils & Hervé Douville & Mingzhou Jin & Peter E. Thornton & Daniel M. Ricciuto & Xiaoying Shi & Haishan Chen & Stan D. Wullschleger & Shi, 2022. "Quantification of human contribution to soil moisture-based terrestrial aridity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Yang, Zhikai & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Lei & Liu, Deli & Ming, Bo & Li, He & Xia, Qian, 2021. "Sizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower plant considering the effects of climate change: A case study in the Longyangxia of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    13. Vikram S. Negi & Deep C. Tiwari & Laxman Singh & Shinny Thakur & Indra D. Bhatt, 2022. "Review and synthesis of climate change studies in the Himalayan region," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(9), pages 10471-10502, September.
    14. Nelson Chanza & Walter Musakwa, 2022. "Indigenous local observations and experiences can give useful indicators of climate change in data-deficient regions," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 12(3), pages 534-546, September.
    15. Gerard A. Persoon & Tessa Minter, 2020. "Knowledge and Practices of Indigenous Peoples in the Context of Resource Management in Relation to Climate Change in Southeast Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-23, September.
    16. Chu-Ren Huang & Sicong Dong & Yike Yang & He Ren, 2021. "From language to meteorology: kinesis in weather events and weather verbs across Sinitic languages," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Timothy Downing & Daniel Olago & Tobias Nyumba, 2023. "Perceptions of Ecosystem Services and Climate Change in the Communities Surrounding Mt. Kenya and Mt. Elgon, Kenya," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-20, July.
    18. David García-del-Amo & P. Graham Mortyn & Victoria Reyes-García, 2020. "Including indigenous and local knowledge in climate research: an assessment of the opinion of Spanish climate change researchers," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(1), pages 67-88, May.
    19. Fikret Berkes & Huei-Min Tsai & Mucahid Mustafa Bayrak & Yih-Ren Lin, 2021. "Indigenous Resilience to Disasters in Taiwan and Beyond," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-17, February.
    20. Nelson Chanza & Walter Musakwa, 2021. "“Trees Are Our Relatives”: Local Perceptions on Forestry Resources and Implications for Climate Change Mitigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-13, May.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:r382h. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://osf.io/preprints/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.