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To understand climate change adaptation we must characterize climate variability. Here’s how

Author

Listed:
  • Pisor, Anne

    (Washington State University)

  • Touma, Danielle
  • Singh, Deepti
  • Jones, James Holland

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

Climate change adaptation involves the management of the climate-related risks, and the IPCC says we must prioritize adaptation immediately. However, researchers and policymakers have little systematic understanding of which adaptations actually reduce risks, including under different climate conditions. Drawing on data from human communities past and present, we review how features of climate variability—temporal autocorrelation, frequency, and severity—may predict which candidate climate change adaptations communities innovate or adopt. Using a case study of climate and remittances in Africa, we outline how researchers can characterize climate data by their autocorrelation, frequency, and severity, and then qualitatively compare these data to candidate adaptations. We include suggestions for how to involve communities in these explorations, from setting climate thresholds to identifying impactful hazards. By better understanding the relationship between climate variability and common solutions used by communities, researchers and policymakers can better support communities as they adapt to contemporary climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Pisor, Anne & Touma, Danielle & Singh, Deepti & Jones, James Holland, 2023. "To understand climate change adaptation we must characterize climate variability. Here’s how," OSF Preprints r382h, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:r382h
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/r382h
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. V. Savo & D. Lepofsky & J. P. Benner & K. E. Kohfeld & J. Bailey & K. Lertzman, 2016. "Observations of climate change among subsistence-oriented communities around the world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 462-473, May.
    2. Deepti Singh & Subimal Ghosh & Mathew K. Roxy & Sonali McDermid, 2019. "Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(2), March.
    3. Tanya Broesch & Alyssa Crittenden & Bret A. Beheim & Aaron D. Blackwell & John Bunce & Heidi Colleran & Kristin Hagel & Michelle Kline & Richard Mcelreath & Robin Nelson & Anne Pisor & Sean Prall & Il, 2020. "Navigating cross-cultural research: methodological and ethical considerations," Post-Print hal-02952162, HAL.
    4. Geeta G. Persad & Bjørn H. Samset & Laura J. Wilcox, 2022. "Aerosols must be included in climate risk assessments," Nature, Nature, vol. 611(7937), pages 662-664, November.
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