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American Economic Policy and the International Debt Crisis

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  • Hans-Werner Sinn

Abstract

This paper advances the hypothesis that the world debt crisis was mainly induced by the dramatic rise of US interest rates in the first half of the eighties. It sees this rise in interest rates primarily as a result of a tight US monetary policy and excessively large investment incentives provided by the 1981 Us tax reform. A welfare analysis shows that the policies could have increased the US advantage from lending its capital abroad, had they been more moderately designed. The actual policies, however, were by far too strong to produce this result.

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  • Hans-Werner Sinn, 1990. "American Economic Policy and the International Debt Crisis," NBER Working Papers 3532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3532
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    1. Daniel Cohen & Jeffrey Sachs, 1991. "Growth and External Debt Under Risk of Debt Repudiation," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 437-472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Barry P. Bosworth, 1985. "Taxes and the Investment Recovery," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 16(1), pages 1-45.
    3. Jonathan Eaton & Mark Gersovitz & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1991. "The Pure Theory of Country Risk," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 391-435, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Hardy, Chandra S., 1979. "Commercial bank lending to developing countries: Supply constraints," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 189-197, February.
    5. Hans‐Werner Sinn, 1984. "Die Bedeutung des Accelerated Cost Recovery System für den internationalen Kapitalverkehr," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(4), pages 542-576, November.
    6. Jonathan Eaton & Mark Gersovitz, 1981. "Debt with Potential Repudiation: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 48(2), pages 289-309.
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