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Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle

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Listed:
  • Zhengyang Jiang
  • Arvind Krishnamurthy
  • Hanno Lustig

Abstract

We develop a model of the global financial cycle with one key ingredient: the international demand for safe dollar assets. The model matches patterns of dollar borrowing and currency mismatch, the U.S. external balance sheet, exorbitant privilege, spillovers of the U.S. monetary policy to the rest of the world, and the dollar as a global risk factor. In doing so, we lay out a novel transmission mechanism through which the U.S. monetary policy affects the currency market and the global economy. The global financial cycle is a dollar cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhengyang Jiang & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Hanno Lustig, 2020. "Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers 27682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27682
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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