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On the importance of the dual labour market for a country within a monetary union

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  • Anna Kosior
  • Michał Rubaszek
  • Kamil Wierus

Abstract

The paper investigates whether differences in the popularity of fixed term contacts on the labour market can be a source of divergent dynamics of unemployment among European Monetary Union economies. For that purpose we construct a database of labor market institutions for a group of eleven euro area countries and years 1995-2013 to conduct a series of dynamic panel regressions. We find a robust and significant impact of duality on unemployment dynamics: high duality rate amplifies its responsiveness to output shocks and lowers its persistence. The heterogeneous unemployment developments, in turn, are a challenge for the conduct of common monetary policy. We conclude that improved stability at both the euro area and country level may be obtained by a coordinated shift to ‘single-contract’ that closes the disproportion between temporary and regular contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Kosior & Michał Rubaszek & Kamil Wierus, 2015. "On the importance of the dual labour market for a country within a monetary union," NBP Working Papers 207, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:207
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dual labour market; Monetary Union; Panel Data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Public Policy

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