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Subjective Well-Being of Corporate Managers And Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Financial Stability During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Marcin Rzeszutek

    (Faculty of Psychology, University of Warsaw, Poland)

  • Jorgen Vitting Andersen

    (CNRS, Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne)

  • Adam Szyszka

    (Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, Warsaw, Poland)

  • Szymon Talaga

    (The Robert Zajonc Institute for Social Studies, University of Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

This study aims at connecting the behavioral corporate finance (micro level) perspective and complexity theory along with agent-based modelling in order to analyze the impact of selected behavioral managerial factors on aggregated data related to the financial market stability (macro level). Specifically, we want to explore whether subjective well-being (SWB) of corporate managers (CEOs) impacted their business decisions during the Covid-19 pandemic, and how it may be related to volatility of stock prices and the issue of financial stability during this critical period. Our study is based on a survey of 255 managers of companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland over the period . Using the results of this survey, we build an agent-based model (ABM) calibrated for the specific case of Poland to investigate how decision making of CEOs, stemming from their SWB, influence the stock prices and selected financial market dynamics indicators. The results of our study indicate that the excess volatility of stock prices may be a function of changes of SWB of managers, which in turn could lead to some crashes on the macro level with respect to financial stability

Suggested Citation

  • Marcin Rzeszutek & Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Adam Szyszka & Szymon Talaga, 2023. "Subjective Well-Being of Corporate Managers And Its Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Financial Stability During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Poland: Agent-Based Model Perspective," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 23017, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    • Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:23017
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marcin Rzeszutek & Antoine Godin & Adam Szyszka & Stanislas Augier, 2021. "Managerial overconfidence in capital structure decisions and its link to aggregate demand: An agent-based model perspective," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(8), pages 1-33, August.
    2. George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
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    4. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    8. Rzeszutek, Marcin & Godin, Antoine & Szyszka, Adam & Augier, Stanislas, 2020. "Managerial overconfidence in initial public offering decisions and its impact on macrodynamics and financial stability: Analysis using an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
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    Keywords

    subjective well-being; CEO; Covid-19; agent-based model;
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