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Increasing Returns, Land Use Controls and Housing Prices

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  • Dingsheng Zhang
  • Wenli Cheng
  • Yew-Kwang Ng

Abstract

The Chinese government has been active in trying to cool the alleged bubbles in its housing markets, especially in urban areas. This paper argues that the high housing prices are at least partly caused by some real factors, including the policy of restricting land uses, in particular the maintenance of a minimum overall agricultural acreage. A simple model of three sectors (housing, agriculture, and others) is constructed to examine the effects of the artificial constraint. The role of increasing returns in the non-agricultural sectors in exacerbating the policy biases is also examined. The model is then calibrated to estimate the effects of land use control policy on housing prices in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Dingsheng Zhang & Wenli Cheng & Yew-Kwang Ng, 2012. "Increasing Returns, Land Use Controls and Housing Prices," Monash Economics Working Papers 12-14, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2012-14
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    File URL: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/eco/research/papers/2012/1412increasingreturnszhangchengng.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Yew-Kwang Ng, 2009. "Average-Cost Pricing, Increasing Returns, and Optimal Output: Comparing Home and Market Production," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Increasing Returns and Economic Efficiency, chapter 9, pages 101-121, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    6. Edward L. Glaeser & Joseph Gyourko & Raven E. Saks, 2006. "Urban growth and housing supply," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 71-89, January.
    7. Yew-Kwang Ng, 2009. "Increasing Returns and Economic Efficiency," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-23681-3, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Feng, Qu & Wu, Guiying Laura, 2015. "Bubble or riddle? An asset-pricing approach evaluation on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 376-383.
    2. Feng Yuan & Weiye Xiao & Yehua Dennis Wei, 2023. "Heterogeneous mechanisms of urban land price in China: a perspective of natural restrictions and strategic supply," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Ouyang, Yanyan & Cai, Hongbo & Yu, Xuefei & Li, Zijian, 2022. "Capitalization of social infrastructure into China's urban and rural housing values: Empirical evidence from Bayesian Model Averaging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    4. Carlos Pestana BARROS & Zhongfei CHEN & Luis A. GIL-ALANA, 2013. "Long Memory in the Housing Price Indices in China," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(7), pages 785-807, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    increasing returns; land use controls in China; housing prices in China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R38 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Government Policy

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