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Has the crisis affected the behavior of the rating agencies? Panel Evidence from the Eurozone

Author

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  • Periklis Boumparis

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)

  • Costas Milas

    (University of Liverpool, UK)

  • Theodore Panagiotidis

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)

Abstract

We examine the determinants of credit ratings for the Eurozone countries over the period 2002-2013 within a panel framework that allows for cross-sectional dependence. We find that government debt and the cumulative current account exert a stronger impact on ratings post-2008 compared to the period before. .

Suggested Citation

  • Periklis Boumparis & Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2015. "Has the crisis affected the behavior of the rating agencies? Panel Evidence from the Eurozone," Discussion Paper Series 2015_04, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2015_04
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Eduardo Cavallo & Andrew Powell & Roberto Rigobon, 2013. "Do Credit Rating Agencies Add Value? Evidence From The Sovereign Rating Business," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 240-265, July.
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    6. Gros, Daniel, 2011. "External versus Domestic Debt in the Euro Crisis," CEPS Papers 5677, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    7. Ramin P. Baghai & Henri Servaes & Ane Tamayo, 2014. "Have Rating Agencies Become More Conservative? Implications for Capital Structure and Debt Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(5), pages 1961-2005, October.
    8. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 967-1012, July.
    9. Miles Livingston & Jie (Diana) Wei & Lei Zhou, 2010. "Moody's and S&P Ratings: Are They Equivalent? Conservative Ratings and Split Rated Bond Yields," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(7), pages 1267-1293, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Hmiden, Oussama & Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine, 2016. "Debt-threshold effect in sovereign credit ratings: New evidence from nonlinear panel smooth transition models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 273-278.
    2. Boumparis, Periklis & Milas, Costas & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and sovereign credit rating decisions: Panel quantile evidence for the Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 39-71.
    3. Reusens, Peter & Croux, Christophe, 2017. "Sovereign credit rating determinants: A comparison before and after the European debt crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 108-121.
    4. De Santis, Roberto A. & Stein, Michael, 2016. "Correlation changes between the risk-free rate and sovereign yields of euro area countries," Working Paper Series 1979, European Central Bank.
    5. Kenourgios, Dimitrios & Umar, Zaghum & Lemonidi, Paraskevi, 2020. "On the effect of credit rating announcements on sovereign bonds: International evidence," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 58-71.
    6. Cuadros-Solas, Pedro Jesús & Salvador Muñoz, Carlos, 2022. "Disentangling the sources of sovereign rating adjustments: An examination of changes in rating policies following the GFC," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. Kinateder, Harald & Wagner, Niklas, 2017. "Quantitative easing and the pricing of EMU sovereign debt," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
    8. Hazar Altinbas & Vincenzo Pacelli & Edgardo Sica, 2018. "The Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yields in the EMU: New Empirical Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(5), pages 41-56, May.
    9. Su, Liangjun & Zhang, Yonghui & Wei, Jie, 2016. "A practical test for strict exogeneity in linear panel data models with fixed effects," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 27-31.
    10. Hazar Altınbaş & Vincenzo Pacelli & Edgardo Sica, 2022. "An Empirical Assessment of the Contagion Determinants in the Euro Area in a Period of Sovereign Debt Risk," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(2), pages 339-371, July.
    11. Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov & Mr. Luca A Ricci, 2019. "The Nonlinear Relationship Between Public Debt and Sovereign Credit Ratings," IMF Working Papers 2019/162, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Ben Hmiden, Oussama & Tatoutchoup, Didier & Nguimkeu, Pierre & Avelé, Donatien, 2024. "Discrepancy and cross-regional bias in sovereign credit ratings: Analyzing the role of public debt," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    13. Krämer, Walter & Neumärker, Simon, 2016. "Comparing the accuracy of default predictions in the rating industry for different sets of obligors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 48-51.
    14. Walter Kraemer & Simon Neumärker, 2016. "Comparing Default Predictions in the Rating Industry for Different Sets of Obligors," CESifo Working Paper Series 5768, CESifo.
    15. Krämer, Walter & Neumärker, Simon, 2019. "Skill Scores and modified Lorenz domination in default forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 61-64.
    16. Agoraki, Maria-Eleni & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2021. "Market expectations and the impact of credit rating on the IPOs of U.S. banks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 587-610.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit ratings; sovereign debt; panel data.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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