Testing Interval Forecasts: A New GMM-based Test
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005.
"Testing normality: a GMM approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
- BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002. "Testing Normality : A GMM Approach," Cahiers de recherche 2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Post-Print hal-02875105, HAL.
- Christian BONTEMPS & Nour MEDDAHI, 2002. "Testing Normality : A Gmm Approach," Cahiers de recherche 14-2002, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Testing Normality: A GMM Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-63, CIRANO.
- Lex Borghans & Frank Cörvers, 2010.
"The Americanization of European Higher Education and Research,"
NBER Chapters, in: American Universities in a Global Market, pages 231-267,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Leks Borgans & Frank Corvers (Transl. by: E. Pokatovich ), 2010. "The americanization of European higher education and research," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 5-43.
- Lex Borghans & Frank Cörvers, 2009. "The Americanization of European Higher Education and Research," NBER Working Papers 15217, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Borghans, L. & Cörvers, F., 2009. "The Americanization of European higher education and research," Research Memorandum 051, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Borghans, L. & Cörvers, F., 2009. "The Americanization of European higher education and research," ROA Research Memorandum 010, Maastricht University, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market (ROA).
- Borghans, Lex & Cörvers, Frank, 2009. "The Americanization of European Higher Education and Research," IZA Discussion Papers 4445, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Bertrand Candelon & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2011.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 314-343, Spring.
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 266, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363165, HAL.
- Candelon, B. & Colletaz, G. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2009. "Backtesting value-at-risk : a GMM duration-based test," Research Memorandum 062, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2009. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 265, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364793, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363168, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364797, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363146, HAL.
- Christophe Hurlin & Gilbert Colletaz & Sessi Tokpavi & Bertrand Candelon, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Working Papers halshs-00329495, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based-Test," Post-Print halshs-00364796, HAL.
- Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
- Chatfield, Chris, 1993. "Calculating Interval Forecasts: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 143-144, April.
- Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2006.
"Monte Carlo tests with nuisance parameters: A general approach to finite-sample inference and nonstandard asymptotics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 443-477, August.
- DUFOUR, Jean-Marie, 2005. "Monte Carlo Tests with Nuisance Parameters: A General Approach to Finite-Sample Inference and Nonstandard Asymptotics," Cahiers de recherche 2005-03, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Jean-Marie Dufour, 2005. "Monte Carlo tests with nuisance parameters: a general approach to finite-sample inference and non-standard asymptotics," CIRANO Working Papers 2005s-02, CIRANO.
- DUFOUR, Jean-Marie, 2005. "Monte Carlo Tests with Nuisance Parameters: A General Approach to Finite-Sample Inference and Nonstandard Asymptotics," Cahiers de recherche 03-2005, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor, 2003. "Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 445-456.
- Chatfield, Chris, 1993. "Calculating Interval Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 121-135, April.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2007. "Testing for time series linearity," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 10(1), pages 149-165, March.
- Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998. "Evaluating Interval Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-862, November.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2003.
"Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2001. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts," Working Paper Series 83, European Central Bank.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 181, Royal Economic Society.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Elena‐Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Jaouad Madkour, 2013.
"Testing Interval Forecasts: A GMM‐Based Approach,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 97-110, March.
- Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Jaouad Madkour, 2011. "Testing interval forecasts: a GMM-based approach," Working Papers halshs-00618467, HAL.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Jaouad Madkour, 2013. "Testing Interval Forecasts: a GMM-Based Approach," Post-Print hal-01385898, HAL.
- Li, Yushu & Andersson, Jonas, 2014. "A Likelihood Ratio and Markov Chain Based Method to Evaluate Density Forecasting," Discussion Papers 2014/12, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Bertrand Candelon & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2011.
"Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 314-343, Spring.
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 266, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363165, HAL.
- Candelon, B. & Colletaz, G. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2009. "Backtesting value-at-risk : a GMM duration-based test," Research Memorandum 062, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Gilbert COLLETAZ & Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2009. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 265, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364793, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363168, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Post-Print halshs-00364797, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk : A GMM Duration-based Test," Post-Print halshs-00363146, HAL.
- Christophe Hurlin & Gilbert Colletaz & Sessi Tokpavi & Bertrand Candelon, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Working Papers halshs-00329495, HAL.
- Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2008. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based-Test," Post-Print halshs-00364796, HAL.
- Yushu Li & Jonas Andersson, 2020. "A likelihood ratio and Markov chain‐based method to evaluate density forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 47-55, January.
- Weron, Rafał, 2014.
"Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1030-1081.
- Rafal Weron, 2014. "Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future," HSC Research Reports HSC/14/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Hansen, Bruce E., 2006. "Interval forecasts and parameter uncertainty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 377-398.
- Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2014. "Theoretical guidelines for a partially informed forecast examiner," MPRA Paper 55017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022. "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 321-330.
- Ziggel, Daniel & Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "A new set of improved Value-at-Risk backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 29-41.
- Lee, Yun Shin & Scholtes, Stefan, 2014. "Empirical prediction intervals revisited," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 217-234.
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting,"
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Charles, Amelie & Darne, Olivier & Kim, Jae, 2016.
"Stock Return Predictability: Evaluation based on Prediction Intervals,"
MPRA Paper
70143, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H. Kim, 2016. "Stock Return Predictability: Evaluation based on prediction intervals," Working Papers hal-01295037, HAL.
- Roberto Buizza & James W. Taylor, 2004. "A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 337-355.
- Thor Pajhede, 2015. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Generalized Markov Framework," Discussion Papers 15-18, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Elena-Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2011. "Backesting Value-at-Risk: From DQ (Dynamic Quantile) to DB (Dynamic Binary) Tests," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 262, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Thiele, Stephen, 2019. "Detecting underestimates of risk in VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 12-20.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2012.
"Testing distributional assumptions: A GMM aproach,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 978-1012, September.
- N. Meddahi & C. Bontemps, 2004. "Testing Distributional Assumptions: A GMM Approach," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 487, Econometric Society.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2012. "Testing distributional assumptions: A GMM aproach," Post-Print hal-02875123, HAL.
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2007. "Testing Distributional Assumptions: A GMM Approach," IDEI Working Papers 486, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
- Bertrand Candelon & Marc Joëts & Sessi Tokpavi, 2012.
"Testing for crude oil markets globalization during extreme price movements,"
EconomiX Working Papers
2012-28, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Bertrand Candelon & Marc Joëts & Sessi Tokpavi, 2012. "Testing for crude oil markets globalization during extreme price movements," Working Papers hal-04141065, HAL.
- Bertrand Candelon & Marc Joëts & Sessi Tokpavi, 2012. "Testing for crude oil markets globalization during extreme price movements," Post-Print hal-01411687, HAL.
- Bertrand Candelon & Marc Joëts & Sessi Tokpavi, 2012. "Testing for crude oil markets globalization during extreme price movements," Post-Print hal-01386081, HAL.
- Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005.
"Testing normality: a GMM approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2002. "Testing Normality: A GMM Approach," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-63, CIRANO.
- Christian Bontemps & Nour Meddahi, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Post-Print hal-02875105, HAL.
- BONTEMPS, Christian & MEDDAHI, Nour, 2002. "Testing Normality : A GMM Approach," Cahiers de recherche 2002-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Christian BONTEMPS & Nour MEDDAHI, 2002. "Testing Normality : A Gmm Approach," Cahiers de recherche 14-2002, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
More about this item
Keywords
Interval forecasts - GMM - Value-at-Risk;Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:leo:wpaper:1549. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sébastien Galanti (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/leorlfr.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.