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Some Structural Hypotheses in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the Purchasing Power Parity and the Uncovered Interest Parity for UK

Author

Listed:
  • Søren Johansen

    (Institute of Mathematical Statistics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Katarina Juselius

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

Abstract

This paper develops some new tests for structural hypotheses in the framework of a multivariate error correction model with Gausian errors. The tests are constructed by an analysis of the likelihood function and motivated by an empirical investigation of the PPP relation and the UIP relation for the United Kingdom. Three types of tests are discussed. First, the authors' consider the same linear restrictions on all cointegration relations, then they consider the hypothesis that certain relations are assumed to be cointegrating, and finally they formulate a general hypothesis that contains the previous ones. This hypothesis can be expressed by the conditions that some of the cointegrating relations are subject to given linear restrictions, while others are unconstrained.

Suggested Citation

  • Søren Johansen & Katarina Juselius, 1990. "Some Structural Hypotheses in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the Purchasing Power Parity and the Uncovered Interest Parity for UK," Discussion Papers 90-05, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:9005
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. D. M. Nachane, 1997. "Purchasing power parity: an analysis based on the evolutionary spectrum," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(11), pages 1515-1524.
    2. Eshiozemhe Micheal Inusa & Aminu Umaru, 2021. "Openness and Agricultural Performance in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 132-144, June.
    3. Eleanor Doyle, 1998. "Export-output causality: The Irish case 1953–93," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(2), pages 147-161, June.
    4. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev, 2023. "The Impact of Energy Prices on Precious Metals: A Comparison of the SARS-COV2 Period and Prior Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 433-440, March.
    5. Kremers, Jeroen J M & Ericsson, Neil R & Dolado, Juan J, 1992. "The Power of Cointegration Tests," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 325-348, August.
    6. Philippe Gudin & Antoine Magnier & Nicolas Ponty, 1991. "Taux d'intérêt : une asymétrie moins forte," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 246(1), pages 55-63.
    7. Dr Ferda Halicioglou, 2004. "The Gibson Paradox: An Empirical Investigation for Turkey," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 111-120.
    8. Manga, Muge & Cengiz, Orhan & Destek, Mehmet Akif, 2022. "Is export quality a viable option for sustainable development paths of Asian countries?," MPRA Paper 117552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Ali, Shah & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "The determinants of economic growth: the Malaysian case," MPRA Paper 107859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Maria-Eleni K. Agoraki & Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2019. "Capital Markets Integration and Cointegration: Testing for the Correct Specification of Stock Market Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Ibrahim Halil Eksi & Mehmet Senturk & H. Semih Yildirim, 2012. "Sensitivity of Stock Market Indices to Oil Prices: Evidence from Manufacturing Sub-Sectors in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(4), pages 463-474, September.
    12. Ajewole, Kayode & Johnson, Michael, 2024. "Testing Possible Causes of Asymmetric Price Transmission Behavior of Major Importers of U. S. Wheat," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344396, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    13. Podivinsky, Jan M., 1992. "Small sample properties of tests of linear restrictions on cointegrating vectors and their weights," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 13-18, May.
    14. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Thanoon, Marwan A. & Rashid, Salim, 2003. "Saving dynamics in the Asian countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 827-845, January.
    15. Altaf Hussain & Rashid Ahmad, 2020. "The Effect of Financial Sector Development on Carbon Emission in Thailand," iRASD Journal of Energy and Environment, International Research Association for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 1(2), pages 72-82, December.
    16. Hai Long Vo & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 446-479, April.
    17. Timmermann, Allan, 1995. "Cointegration Tests of Present Value Models with a Time-Varying Discount Factor," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(1), pages 17-31, Jan.-Marc.
    18. Sudawan Somjai & Thitinan Chankoson & Kittisak Jermsittiparsert, 2020. "An economic analysis of agricultural production function on the paddy fields of Thailand," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(3), pages 2012-2025, March.
    19. Hakhu, Antra Bhatt, 2015. "Productive Public Expenditure and Debt Dynamics: An Error Correction Representation using Indian Data," Working Papers 15/149, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    20. Ericsson, Neil R., 1992. "Cointegration, exogeneity, and policy analysis: An overview," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 251-280, June.
    21. Anne Péguin-Feissolle & Denis Péguin, 1993. "Protection tarifaire, brevets et diffusion internationale de la connaissance : croissance et dynamique de court terme aux États-Unis de 1889 à 1985," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(2), pages 369-388.
    22. Neha Rajput & G. S. Bhalla, 2024. "Testing the Relationship Between Income and Expenditure of a Statutory Organization: Cointegration and Causality Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4338-4355, March.
    23. Cuthbertson, K. & Gasparro, D., 1995. "Fixed investment decisions in UK manufacturing: The importance of Tobin's Q, output and debt," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 919-941, May.
    24. Ogali, Oscar I.O. & Okoro, Emeka E. & Olafuyi, Saburi G., 2023. "Assessing consensus on nexus between natural gas consumption and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    multivariate analysis; PPP; exchange rates and markets; UK;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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