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Note on the Interpretation of Convergence Speed in the Dynamic Panel Model

Author

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  • Masahiko Shibamoto

    (Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration (RIEB), Kobe University, Japan)

  • Yoshiro Tsutsui

    (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka University, Japan)

Abstract

Studies using the dynamic panel regression approach have found the speed of income convergence among the world and regional economies to be high. For example, Lee et al. (1997, 1998) report the income convergence speed to be 30% per annum. This note argues that their estimates may be seriously overstated. Using a factor model, we show that the coefficient of the lagged income in their specification may not be the long-run convergence speed, but the adjustment speed of the short-run deviation from the long-run equilibrium path. We give an example of an empirical analysis, where the short-run adjustment speed is about 40%.

Suggested Citation

  • Masahiko Shibamoto & Yoshiro Tsutsui, 2011. "Note on the Interpretation of Convergence Speed in the Dynamic Panel Model," Discussion Paper Series DP2011-04, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    • Handle: RePEc:kob:dpaper:dp2011-04
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    File URL: https://www.rieb.kobe-u.ac.jp/academic/ra/dp/English/DP2011-04.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 106(2), pages 407-443.
    2. Peter C.B.Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2002. "Dynamic Panel Estimation and Homogeneity Testing Under Cross Section Dependence," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1362, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Shibamoto, Masahiko & Tsutsui, Yoshiro & Yamane, Chisako, 2016. "Understanding regional growth dynamics in Japan: Panel co-integration approach utilizing the PANIC method," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 17-30.
    4. Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron Smith, 1998. "Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach—A Comment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(1), pages 319-323.
    5. Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1997. "Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 357-392, July-Aug..
    6. Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. "Handbook of Economic Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 1, number 1.
    7. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2003. "Dynamic panel estimation and homogeneity testing under cross section dependence *," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 217-259, June.
    8. Shioji, Etsuro, 2001. "Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Convergence Approach," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 205-227, September.
    9. Nazrul Islam, 1995. "Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(4), pages 1127-1170.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Alper Yılmaz, 2023. "Carbon emissions effect of trade openness and energy consumption in Sub-Saharan Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 1-28, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Convergence speed; Dynamic panel regression; Factor model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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