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Understanding regional growth dynamics in Japan: Panel co-integration approach utilizing the PANIC method

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  • Shibamoto, Masahiko
  • Tsutsui, Yoshiro
  • Yamane, Chisako

Abstract

This study proposes a panel co-integration approach using the PANIC method for understanding the regional growth dynamics using non-stationary panel data, and applies it to Japanese prefectures. This approach enables us to analyze both long-run equilibrium growth path and short-run dynamics across the regions. Specifically, we find that there is one common source of growth to which prefectures attach different weights, that the per capita real income of follower-prefectures will catch up to that of leader-prefectures, and that temporal fluctuations of the catch-up process elicited by Barro type regression qualitatively corresponds to short-run dynamics across prefectures by the PANIC method.

Suggested Citation

  • Shibamoto, Masahiko & Tsutsui, Yoshiro & Yamane, Chisako, 2016. "Understanding regional growth dynamics in Japan: Panel co-integration approach utilizing the PANIC method," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 17-30.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:40:y:2016:i:c:p:17-30
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2016.03.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Mendez-Guerra, Carlos, 2018. "¿Convergencia beta, sigma y distribucional en desarrollo humano? Evidencia de las regiones metropolitanas de Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 30, pages 88-117, November.
    2. Delgado Narro, Augusto Ricardo, 2020. "The Process of Convergence among the Japanese Prefectures: 1955 - 2012," MPRA Paper 100361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fukuda, Shin-ichi & Okumura, Koki, 2020. "Regional convergence under declining population: The case of Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    4. Masahiko Shibamoto & Yoshiro Tsutsui, 2014. "Note on the interpretation of the convergence speed in the dynamic panel model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 533-535, May.
    5. Mendez-Guerra, Carlos, 2018. "Beta, Sigma and Distributional Convergence in Human Development? Evidence from the Metropolitan Regions of Bolivia," MPRA Paper 87627, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    β-convergence; Common trends; Panel unit root test; PANIC method; Japan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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