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Indirect Estimation of α-Stable Garch Models

Author

Listed:
  • Giorgio Calzolari

    (Dipartimento di Statistica "G. Parenti", Università di Firenze, Italy)

  • Roxana Halbleib

    (Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Germany)

  • Alessandro Parrini

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

Abstract

It is a well-known fact that financial returns exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity and fat tails. While the GARCH-type models are very popular in depicting the conditional heteroscedasticity, the α-stable distribution is a natural candidate for the conditional distribution of financial returns. The α-stable distribution is a generalization of the normal distribution and is described by four parameters, two of which deal with tail-thickness and asymmetry. However, practical implementation of α-stable distribution in finance applications has been limited by its estimation difficulties. In this paper, we propose an indirect approach of estimating GARCH models with α-stable innovations by using as auxiliary models GARCH-type models with Student's t distributed innovations. We provide comprehensive empirical evidence on the performance of the method within a series of Monte Carlo simulation studies and an empirical application to financial returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgio Calzolari & Roxana Halbleib & Alessandro Parrini, 2012. "Indirect Estimation of α-Stable Garch Models," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2012-31, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
  • Handle: RePEc:knz:dpteco:1231
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yanlin Shi & Lingbing Feng & Tong Fu, 2020. "Markov Regime-Switching in-Mean Model with Tempered Stable Distribution," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1275-1299, April.
    2. Lingbing Feng & Yanlin Shi, 2017. "A simulation study on the distributions of disturbances in the GARCH model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1355503-135, January.
    3. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana, 2018. "Estimating stable latent factor models by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 280-301.
    4. Li, Dong & Tao, Yuxin & Yang, Yaxing & Zhang, Rongmao, 2023. "Maximum likelihood estimation for α-stable double autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
    5. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana & Parrini, Alessandro, 2014. "Estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric stable innovations: Indirect inference versus maximum likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 158-171.
    6. Feng Lingbing & Shi Yanlin, 2020. "Markov regime-switching autoregressive model with tempered stable distribution: simulation evidence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 1-27, February.
    7. Sampaio, Jhames M. & Morettin, Pedro A., 2020. "Stable Randomized Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 67-83.
    8. Shi, Yanlin & Feng, Lingbing, 2016. "A discussion on the innovation distribution of the Markov regime-switching GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 278-288.
    9. Tong Liu & Yanlin Shi, 2022. "Innovation of the Component GARCH Model: Simulation Evidence and Application on the Chinese Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Indirect Inference; α-stable Distribution; GARCH Models; Student's t Distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

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